Anyang vs Ulsan: match statistics

Ulsan sit 2nd in the table, while Anyang are ninth, and the overall season record stands at 14 wins for the visitors compared with 8 home wins. Current form also favours Ulsan: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded just 4 goals in that run, whereas Anyang have averaged 1 point per game, suffering 2 defeats and conceding 9 goals. Away from home, Ulsan score an average of 1.29 goals, create chances worth 1.50 xG and register 4.43 shots on target per match, compared with Anyang’s 1.07 goals, 1.18 xG and 2.86 shots on target at home. The hosts’ defence is a clear concern, conceding 1.86 goals per home match and keeping no clean sheets, while Ulsan concede an average of 1.07 goals away from home. A draw remains a realistic possibility given Anyang’s 36% home draw rate, but the visitors’ superiority in chance quality, defensive efficiency and current form points to a Ulsan win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the seasonal metrics of both teams: Anyang have recorded goals from both sides in 73% of their matches, while Ulsan have done so in 57%, compared with the league average of 53%. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals but concede 1.53, whereas Ulsan score 1.29 goals per match and concede 1.07. In their last five matches, Anyang had BTTS in 80% of cases and conceded as many as 1.8 goals per game, significantly increasing Ulsan’s chances of scoring. However, Ulsan have kept a clean sheet in 21% of their matches and conceded only 0.8 goals over their last five fixtures, meaning the risk of an Anyang No Goal scenario remains significant. Nevertheless, the hosts’ high xG of 1.81 and the 1.96 xG recently allowed by Ulsan support the Goal/Goal outcome.

The strongest signal points to at least two goals: Anyang matches went over the 1.5 line in 73% of cases, while Ulsan reached it in as many as 86%. Both teams very rarely finish matches without scoring, as a goal was scored in 93% of their games. Anyang generate an average of 1.81 xG, compared with 1.50 xG for Ulsan, while both defenses allow opponents 1.69 and 1.63 xG respectively. The last five matches also support a goals-based selection: Over 2.5 occurred in 60% of matches for both teams, although Ulsan's improved recent defensive record, conceding 0.8 goals per game, reduces confidence in higher lines. The 2.72-goal projection indicates that Over 1.5 has a clear advantage over the more demanding Over 2.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Ulsan win at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in all of their last five matches, while Anyang recorded this outcome in 60% of that sample. Ulsan’s first halves have been very tight: across their last five matches, they averaged just 0.2 goals scored and conceded, which strongly supports an undecided scoreline before the break. After half-time, the form advantage shifts to the visitors, who averaged 1.2 goals scored in the second half of their last five appearances, while Anyang conceded as many as 1.2 goals during that period. Ulsan won 60% of their last five matches and conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game, compared with Anyang’s 20% win rate and 1.8 goals conceded. The hosts have a slightly higher seasonal xG, 1.81 compared with 1.50, but their weaker current form and Ulsan’s more solid defence point towards a visitors’ victory after the break. The recommended HT/FT selection is X/2.