Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of 19 October 2026

Araz vs Qabala: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Araz vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Araz play Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 23 October 2026.

Current form

Araz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Qabala: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Araz scores 0.75 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Qabala scores 0.38 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Araz 50%, Qabala 25%. Over 2.5: Araz 63%, Qabala 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Araz has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.22. Araz: 10.8 shots per match, Qabala: 10.5.

Match halves

Araz: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Qabala: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.13.

Goals by minute

Araz: 31-45+ (2 goals). Qabala: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.75Goals scored / match0.38
ArazQabala
2.13Goals conceded / match1.88
ArazQabala
49%Average possession50%
ArazQabala
2.88Shots on target / match2.88
ArazQabala

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.75Shots per match10.5
ArazQabala
2.88Shots on target2.88
ArazQabala
7%Shot conversion3.6%
ArazQabala
49%Possession50%
ArazQabala
1.26xG for1.22
ArazQabala
1.85xG against1.51
ArazQabala

Shooting quality

Araz: BalancedQabala: Balanced
ArazQabala
Accuracy (shots on target)27%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qabala is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Araz · 0.6 pts / match - Qabala

Araz
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-6
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
DLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Qabala
WLLLL
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Araz is 97% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Araz · 0.38 goals / match - Qabala

Qabala is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Araz · 1.88 goals / match - Qabala

Araz scoring profile: strong

Araz scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Qabala scoring profile: mixed

Qabala scores in 25% of matches (2 of 8 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

6Goals scored (season)3
ArazQabala
17Goals conceded (season)15
ArazQabala
2.88Average goals in match2.25
ArazQabala
6Goals scored (last 5)3
ArazQabala
11Goals conceded (last 5)13
ArazQabala

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal25%
ArazQabala
25%2 goals13%
ArazQabala
0%3 goals0%
ArazQabala
0%4 goals0%
ArazQabala

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal88%
ArazQabala
75%2 goals38%
ArazQabala
25%3 goals38%
ArazQabala
13%4 goals25%
ArazQabala

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
ArazQabala
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ArazQabala
13%Scored in both halves13%
ArazQabala

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
ArazQabala
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
ArazQabala
80%BTTS - last 540%
ArazQabala

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
ArazQabala
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
ArazQabala
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
ArazQabala

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
ArazQabala
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
ArazQabala
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
ArazQabala

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Araz is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Araz · 0.5 pts / match - Qabala

Araz - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Qabala - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.5
ArazQabala
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.25
ArazQabala
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
ArazQabala
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.13
ArazQabala
50%Clean sheet before half-time38%
ArazQabala
63%No goal before half-time75%
ArazQabala

After half-time (2nd half)

0.38Points per match (2nd half)0.63
ArazQabala
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.13
ArazQabala
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)1
ArazQabala
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.13
ArazQabala
25%Clean sheet after half-time38%
ArazQabala
75%No goal after half-time88%
ArazQabala

Araz - second-half results

0% W38% D63% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qabala - second-half results

13% W25% D63% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Araz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Qabala - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Araz
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Qabala
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
4
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
13%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
38%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Araz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
188%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Qabala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
34%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

ArazLigaQabala
Average goals in match▲ 2.882.57▼ 2.25
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%46%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 13%32%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%65%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Araz 1 - 1 - 1 Qabala. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Araz and Qabala play?

Araz face Qabala on 23 October 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Qabala?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Araz won 1, Qabala won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Qabala?

Araz score 0.75 goals per game on average and Qabala 0.38. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Araz's matches and 25% of Qabala's.

What form are Araz and Qabala in?

Over the last 5 games Araz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Qabala 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Qabala?

The statistical background for Araz vs Qabala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.