Ayr United vs Greenock Morton: match statistics
Ayr United vs Greenock Morton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayr United played Greenock Morton in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Venue: Somerset Park. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ayr United: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Greenock Morton: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayr United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Greenock Morton scores 0.33 and concedes 1.67. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayr United 33%, Greenock Morton 33%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 0%, Greenock Morton 33%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 13%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Ayr United: 5.0 shots per match, Greenock Morton: 5.3.
Match halves
Ayr United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Greenock Morton: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Ayr United: 31-45+ (2 goals). Greenock Morton: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 13%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayr United have a clear form advantage: they have taken 7 points from their last five matches, while Greenock Morton have lost all 5 and failed to earn a single point. The hosts won their only home game so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and keeping a clean sheet, whereas Morton have lost 100% of their away matches, conceded an average of 2 goals and failed to score on every occasion. Ayr are also more clinical in front of goal, recording 5 shots on target per match compared with their opponents’ 3, while their home xG stands at 1.26 versus Morton’s 1.15 away from home. Although the hosts averaged just 16% possession, they made good use of their chances, achieving a 25% shot conversion rate, whereas the visitors have a 0% conversion rate. Morton’s run of five consecutive defeats, just 1 goal scored in their last five matches and weak defensive record point to Ayr United as the most likely winners.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Greenock Morton's very weak attacking output: the team is yet to score a goal this season, while averaging just 0.2 goals across their last 5 matches. The visitors have failed to find the net in 100% of their matches this season, with BTTS occurring in only 0% of their league fixtures and 20% of their last five appearances. Ayr United have conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, but Morton are currently producing only 0.59 xG per game, which limits the visitors' chances of breaking their duck. The hosts are in better goalscoring form, averaging 1.8 goals per game across their last 5 rounds, so a one-sided result is more likely than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Greenock Morton have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, while their average xG stands at only 0.59. Ayr United are significantly more dangerous in attack, averaging 1.8 goals across their last five appearances, but their xG of 0.99 does not suggest a run of consistently high-scoring games. For both teams, only 40% of their last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, while all league meetings between these sides so far have stayed below 3.5 goals. In addition, the league-wide average is just 1.8 goals per match, which, combined with the visitors’ weak attacking output, further strengthens the case for Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ayr United are showing clearly superior current form: they have averaged 1.8 goals and won 40% of their last five matches, while Morton have scored just 0.2 goals per game and lost all five fixtures. The hosts’ advantage is already evident before half-time, as they average 1.2 goals in the first half, whereas the visitors have failed to score in the opening 45 minutes in each of their last five matches. Ayr held a lead at the break in 40% of those games, while Morton did so on none of those occasions, with the visitors also going into half-time behind in 40% of their matches. After the interval, Morton still look defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, while Ayr have a positive points return in this period. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT scenario in which the hosts establish a lead before half-time and maintain it until the final whistle: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 203% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.33 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Ayr United is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.67 goals / match - Greenock Morton
Ayr United scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Greenock Morton scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Ayr United · 0.67 pts / match - Greenock Morton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayr United
Greenock Morton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Greenock Morton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.75 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Ayr United 1 - 2 - 1 Greenock Morton. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 1:1 Greenock Morton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Greenock Morton?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 1, Greenock Morton won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Greenock Morton 0.33. The Championship average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 13% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ayr United's matches and 33% of Greenock Morton's.
What form are Ayr United and Greenock Morton in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Greenock Morton 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton?
The statistical background for Ayr United vs Greenock Morton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.