Ayr United vs Partick Thistle: match statistics
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Ayr United vs Partick Thistle: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayr United play Partick Thistle in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Somerset Park.
Current form
Ayr United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Partick Thistle: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayr United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Partick Thistle scores 1.11 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayr United 50%, Partick Thistle 22%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 20%, Partick Thistle 22%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Partick Thistle has higher xG: 1.60 vs 0.98. Ayr United: 7.0 shots per match, Partick Thistle: 12.1.
Match halves
Ayr United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.30. Partick Thistle: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Ayr United: 31-45+ (5 goals). Partick Thistle: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-3. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 60%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Partick Thistle | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Partick Thistle is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ayr United · 2 pts / match - Partick Thistle
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Partick Thistle is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.11 goals / match - Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle is 233% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.33 goals / match - Partick Thistle
Ayr United scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Partick Thistle keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 matches).
Partick Thistle scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Partick Thistle
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Partick Thistle is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.89 pts / match - Partick Thistle
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Partick Thistle - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayr United
Partick Thistle
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Partick Thistle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Ayr United 0 - 2 - 3 Partick Thistle. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
When do Ayr United and Partick Thistle play?
Ayr United face Partick Thistle on 16 October 2026 in Championship at Somerset Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Partick Thistle?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, Partick Thistle won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Partick Thistle 1.11. The Championship average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ayr United's matches and 22% of Partick Thistle's.
What form are Ayr United and Partick Thistle in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Partick Thistle 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Partick Thistle?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.