Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 21 October 2026

Bangor vs Larne: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bangor vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bangor play Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

Bangor: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Larne: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bangor scores 0.83 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Larne scores 2.13 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bangor 50%, Larne 38%. Over 2.5: Bangor 58%, Larne 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Larne has higher xG: 1.73 vs 0.99. Bangor: 6.8 shots per match, Larne: 12.5.

Match halves

Bangor: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.58. Larne: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

Bangor: 46-60 (3 goals). Larne: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(10.50)
(5.00)
(1.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.83Goals scored / match2.13
BangorLarne
2Goals conceded / match0.75
BangorLarne
44%Average possession52%
BangorLarne
2.58Shots on target / match6
BangorLarne

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.83Shots per match12.5
BangorLarne
2.58Shots on target6
BangorLarne
12.2%Shot conversion17%
BangorLarne
44%Possession52%
BangorLarne
0.99xG for1.73
BangorLarne
1.4xG against0.88
BangorLarne

Shooting quality

Bangor: Counter-attackingLarne: Efficient finishing
BangorLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)38%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bangor · 2.4 pts / match - Larne

Bangor
WLLLD
Season result split
8% W25% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-8
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Larne
WWWWL
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 157% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Bangor · 2.13 goals / match - Larne

Larne is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Bangor · 0.75 goals / match - Larne

Bangor scoring profile: more difficult

Bangor scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

10Goals scored (season)17
BangorLarne
24Goals conceded (season)6
BangorLarne
2.83Average goals in match2.88
BangorLarne
6Goals scored (last 5)14
BangorLarne
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
BangorLarne

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal88%
BangorLarne
25%2 goals75%
BangorLarne
8%3 goals25%
BangorLarne
0%4 goals13%
BangorLarne

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal38%
BangorLarne
67%2 goals25%
BangorLarne
33%3 goals13%
BangorLarne
8%4 goals0%
BangorLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time13%
BangorLarne
8%BTTS in both halves0%
BangorLarne
17%Scored in both halves50%
BangorLarne

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
BangorLarne
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
BangorLarne
60%BTTS - last 540%
BangorLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
BangorLarne
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
BangorLarne
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
BangorLarne

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
BangorLarne
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
BangorLarne
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
BangorLarne

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Larne is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Bangor · 2.25 pts / match - Larne

Bangor - half-time state
17% leading25% draw58% trailing
Larne - half-time state
63% leading38% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)2.25
BangorLarne
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1
BangorLarne
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
BangorLarne
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.25
BangorLarne
42%Clean sheet before half-time88%
BangorLarne
75%No goal before half-time38%
BangorLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)2.13
BangorLarne
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
BangorLarne
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BangorLarne
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.63
BangorLarne
25%Clean sheet after half-time75%
BangorLarne
58%No goal after half-time25%
BangorLarne

Bangor - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding47%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Larne - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bangor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.00
Goals scored / match1.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6+3
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bangor
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bangor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.85
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

BangorLigaLarne
Average goals in match▲ 2.832.71▲ 2.88
Both teams scored• 50%49%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%53%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 8%28%▲ 63%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%69%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%84%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Bangor 0 - 1 - 3 Larne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Larne
1 : 0
Bangor
Larne FC
2 : 1
Bangor FC
Larne FC
1 : 1
Bangor FC
Bangor FC
0 : 2
Larne FC

FAQ

When do Bangor and Larne play?

Bangor face Larne on 24 October 2026 in NIFL Premiership. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bangor and Larne?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Bangor won 0, Larne won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bangor vs Larne?

Bangor score 0.83 goals per game on average and Larne 2.13. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bangor's matches and 38% of Larne's.

What form are Bangor and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Bangor have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Larne 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bangor vs Larne?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bangor vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.