Basel vs Lugano: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Basel vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Basel play Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: St. Jakob-Park.
Current form
Basel: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lugano: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Basel scores 2.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Lugano scores 3.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 4.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basel 60%, Lugano 75%. Over 2.5: Basel 60%, Lugano 100%. League level: BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 82%.
xG, shots and style
Lugano has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.37. Basel: 12.6 shots per match, Lugano: 14.8.
Match halves
Basel: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Lugano: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Basel: 31-45+ (3 goals). Lugano: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 4.11 goals per match, BTTS 79%, Over 2.5 82%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basel | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lugano is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Basel · 3 pts / match - Lugano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Basel · 3.25 goals / match - Lugano
Lugano is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Basel · 0.75 goals / match - Lugano
Basel scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Lugano scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Basel keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Basel
Over / Under - Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Basel · 2.25 pts / match - Lugano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Basel
Lugano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Basel | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.40 | 4.11 | ▼ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 11% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 93% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Basel 0 - 1 - 3 Lugano. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Basel and Lugano play?
Basel face Lugano on 6 September 2026 in Super League at St. Jakob-Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Basel and Lugano?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Basel won 0, Lugano won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Basel vs Lugano?
Basel score 2.00 goals per game on average and Lugano 3.25. The Super League average is 4.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 82% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Basel's matches and 75% of Lugano's.
What form are Basel and Lugano in?
Over the last 5 games Basel have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lugano 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basel vs Lugano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.