Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bristol Rovers play Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Memorial Stadium.
Current form
Bristol Rovers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bristol Rovers scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.08 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bristol Rovers 42%, Swindon Town 50%. Over 2.5: Bristol Rovers 50%, Swindon Town 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Bristol Rovers has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.15. Bristol Rovers: 15.5 shots per match, Swindon Town: 10.2.
Match halves
Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.75. Swindon Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Bristol Rovers: 76-90+ (4 goals). Swindon Town: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol Rovers is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.08 goals / match - Swindon Town
Swindon Town is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.33 goals / match - Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
Over / Under - Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol Rovers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Bristol Rovers · 1.25 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bristol Rovers
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Bristol Rovers | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 - 1 Swindon Town. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town play?
Bristol Rovers face Swindon Town on 24 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Memorial Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0, Swindon Town won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Bristol Rovers score 1.33 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.08. The EFL League Two average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Bristol Rovers's matches and 50% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Bristol Rovers have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.