Bugesera vs Etincelles: match statistics
Bugesera vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bugesera played Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stade Kicukiro. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bugesera: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Etincelles: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bugesera scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Etincelles scores 0.67 and concedes 0.00. League average: 1.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bugesera 0%, Etincelles 0%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 0%, Etincelles 0%. League level: BTTS 20%, Over 2.5 15%.
xG, shots and style
Etincelles has higher xG: 1.05 vs 0.76. Bugesera: 2.0 shots per match, Etincelles: 7.7.
Match halves
Bugesera: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Etincelles: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Bugesera: 0-15 (0 goals). Etincelles: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.55 goals per match, BTTS 20%, Over 2.5 15%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Etincelles sit 2nd in the table and remain unbeaten after three matches this season, while Bugesera are 17th after losing their only game. The gap in form is also clear over the last five matches: the visitors have won 4 and drawn 1, while the hosts have recorded just 1 win and suffered 3 defeats. Etincelles scored 8 goals and conceded 1 over that period, compared with 5 scored and 7 conceded by Bugesera, which points to the visitors having the edge at both ends of the pitch. In their only away appearance this season, Etincelles won to nil, although their xG was 0.94 against the opposition’s 1.12, so their clinical finishing and clean sheet do not guarantee another equally comfortable match. The hosts’ home statistics do not yet include a completed fixture, so despite the visitors’ advantage, a draw remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: BTTS occurred in 40% of Bugesera’s last 5 matches and just 20% of Etincelles’ last 5. The visitors conceded only 1 goal over this period, averaging 0.2 per match, while the hosts scored an average of 1.0. In addition, Bugesera recorded an average xG of just 0.41 across its last 5 appearances, pointing to a limited number of quality chances. Etincelles have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches compared with Bugesera’s 1.0, but an Etincelles goal alone would not be enough for BTTS - Yes. In the league, both teams score in only 22% of matches, further strengthening the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league average is 1.61 goals per match, and only 17% of games finish with at least three goals, pointing to a low-scoring outcome. In their last five matches, Bugesera averaged 1.0 goals scored, while Etincelles conceded just 0.2 per game, so the hosts may struggle to significantly increase the goal total. The visitors scored 1.6 goals per match over this period, compared with Bugesera conceding 1.4, so I rate their expected goal tally slightly higher than the hosts’. For both teams, 40% of their last five matches went over 2.5 goals, so three goals cannot be ruled out. However, with the projected total at 1.90 goals, Under 3.5 goals remains the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Bugesera were level at the break in both of their home matches so far, while Etincelles were level in 3 of their last 5 games. The visitors have not conceded before half-time in any of those 5 matches, limiting the hosts’ chances of taking an early lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Etincelles, who have averaged 1.0 second-half goals across their last 5 matches, compared with Bugesera’s 0.4. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 games and conceded an average of 0.2 goals, while the hosts have lost 3 of 5 and conceded an average of 1.4. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an Etincelles win is the scenario best supported by the data, although the visitors taking the lead at the break also remains a realistic possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bugesera | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 100% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bugesera scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 matches).
Etincelles scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bugesera
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bugesera - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bugesera
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Bugesera | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.00 | 1.55 | ▼ 0.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 15% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 0% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BugeseraGoalNaibe AkpesiriAssist: Jérémie Mumbere
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bugesera 2 - 0 - 0 Etincelles. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bugesera vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:0 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bugesera and Etincelles?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 2, Etincelles won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Etincelles?
Bugesera score 0.00 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.67. The National Soccer League average is 1.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Bugesera's matches and 0% of Etincelles's.
What form are Bugesera and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Etincelles 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Etincelles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.