CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CA La Paz played Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 8 November 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
CA La Paz: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Tlaxcala: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CA La Paz scores 2.31 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.81 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CA La Paz 63%, Tlaxcala 69%. Over 2.5: CA La Paz 75%, Tlaxcala 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
CA La Paz has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.54. CA La Paz: 16.6 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 12.5.
Match halves
CA La Paz: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.13. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
CA La Paz: 31-45+ (9 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz have won 9 of their 15 matches this season and average 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded at home, giving them a clear edge over Tlaxcala, who score 1.38 and concede 2.00 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances: their home xG stands at 1.87, with an average of 16.75 shots, while the visitors’ away xG is 1.37 from 11.13 shots. Tlaxcala are unbeaten in their last five matches and have scored 11 goals, so their current form calls for caution when assessing the hosts’ chances. Even so, the visitors have won only 13% of their away matches, while CA La Paz have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their home games, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 71% of CA La Paz matches and 75% of Tlaxcala matches, well above the league average of 57%. The hosts score an average of 2.57 goals, while the visitors concede 2.00, strongly pointing to a CA La Paz goal. Tlaxcala score an average of 1.38 goals, while the hosts concede 1.57; the visitors’ xG of 1.37 also indicates a realistic chance of finding the net. In their last five matches, the teams averaged 2.6 and 2.2 goals scored respectively, although Tlaxcala’s lower average of 1.0 goals conceded slightly reduces confidence in the prediction. Overall, the data point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CA La Paz average 2.57 goals at home, while Tlaxcala concede 2.00 goals away, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. The visitors average 1.38 goals, while the hosts concede 1.57, so an away goal is also a realistic possibility. All previous matches involving the two teams have produced at least 2 goals, and Over 2.5 goals landed in 71% and 63% of their matches, respectively. Although these figures also support a higher line, Over 1.5 has a clearer edge: it requires just two goals against a projected total of 3.60.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by CA La Paz winning the match appears to be the most likely outcome. The hosts were level at the break in 3 of their 7 home matches, and their average of 0.71 goals in the first half does not suggest a clear advantage from the outset. After the break, however, they score an average of 1.86 goals, while Tlaxcala concede 1.38 away goals in that period. The hosts’ 71% home win rate, compared with the visitors’ 13% away win rate, also supports a home win at full-time. The risk to this pick is increased by Tlaxcala’s good form: they have not lost any of their last 5 matches. This is why the X/1 scenario has only a slight edge over 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CA La Paz is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - CA La Paz · 2 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
2.31 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.81 goals / match - Tlaxcala
CA La Paz is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - CA La Paz · 1.75 goals / match - Tlaxcala
CA La Paz scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - CA La Paz · 1.19 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CA La Paz
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.16 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): CA La Paz 2 - 2 - 0 Tlaxcala. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 3:3 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CA La Paz and Tlaxcala?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches CA La Paz won 2, Tlaxcala won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
CA La Paz score 2.31 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.81. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 63% of CA La Paz's matches and 69% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are CA La Paz and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Tlaxcala 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.