Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carabobo played Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 7 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Carabobo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Estudiantes Mérida: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carabobo scores 1.56 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.19 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carabobo 52%, Estudiantes Mérida 50%. Over 2.5: Carabobo 33%, Estudiantes Mérida 46%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Carabobo has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.20. Carabobo: 16.6 shots per match, Estudiantes Mérida: 10.8.
Match halves
Carabobo: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.04. Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Carabobo: 46-60 (14 goals). Estudiantes Mérida: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carabobo are unbeaten at home this season, winning 57% of their matches and drawing the remaining 43%, while Estudiantes Mérida have lost 54% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.71 goals at home from an xG of 1.76, whereas the visitors create chances worth just 1.05 xG away from home and score an average of 1.08 goals. Carabobo’s defence concedes only 0.57 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 64% of such fixtures, while Estudiantes Mérida fail to score in 46% of their away games. The difference in match control is also reflected in Carabobo’s averages of 16.29 shots and 56% possession, compared with the visitors’ 8.92 shots and 49% possession. Estudiantes Mérida have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Carabobo’s home advantage and more stable defence point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, because Carabobo have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while both teams have scored only 0.8 and 1.0 goals per match respectively during this period. Estudiantes Mérida have failed to score in 46% of their matches this season, clearly increasing the likelihood that at least one team will finish the game without scoring. The hosts’ current form is particularly relevant: BTTS has landed in only 20% of their last five appearances, compared with 40% for the visitors. Over the season, Carabobo’s BTTS rate stands at 58%, but Estudiantes’ is only 38%, while the visitors’ average xG is 1.05 against 1.26 xG conceded by the hosts. Carabobo should create chances, especially as Estudiantes allow opponents 1.67 xG, but a clean sheet for one side is more likely than goals from both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to a moderate goal tally: Carabobo score an average of 1.33 goals, while Estudiantes Mérida average 1.08. In their last five matches, Carabobo conceded just 2 goals, or 0.4 per game, although their opponents generated an average of 1.14 xG. The hosts have not gone over 2.5 goals in any of their last five appearances, while Estudiantes did so in only 40% of their matches during this period. Across the season, under 3.5 goals was recorded in 75% of Carabobo’s matches and as many as 85% of Estudiantes’ games, while neither team averages even 1.4 goals scored. The hosts’ advantage of 1.38 xG and the visitors’ weaker defence, allowing an average of 1.67 xG, support a Carabobo goal, but not an open game with four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Carabobo win at full-time, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 58% of their matches, and in as many as 80% of their last five. The first halves should be cautious: Carabobo average 0.50 goals in them, falling to just 0.40 across their last five appearances, while Estudiantes Mérida have recently scored only 0.20 goals before the break. After half-time, the hosts’ advantage becomes more pronounced, as they average 0.83 goals and 1.75 points per match in second halves, compared with 0.38 goals and 0.92 points for the visitors. Carabobo also have stronger full-season metrics: 1.67 points per match, an xG of 1.38 and xG conceded of 1.26, while Estudiantes have 1.08 points, an xG of 1.05 and as much as 1.67 xG conceded.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carabobo | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Mérida is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Carabobo · 1.6 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Carabobo · 1.19 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Carabobo · 1.31 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carabobo
Over / Under - Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carabobo
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Carabobo | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.56 | 2.56 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 45% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Carabobo 4 - 0 - 1 Estudiantes Mérida. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Carabobo 1:0 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 4, Estudiantes Mérida won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Carabobo score 1.56 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.19. The Primera División average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Carabobo's matches and 50% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Carabobo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.