Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match compared to 1.6 points for Carrick Rangers. The hosts have a very weak home record with just 18% wins and a staggering 64% losses, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match at home. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (5th place vs 11th place) and have won four of their last five meetings, showing solid defense with just two goals conceded in that period. Dungannon also has the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and better shooting efficiency (11% vs 9%). Despite difficulties on the road (50% losses), current form and qualitative advantage speak for an away victory, although Carrick's solid defense (27% clean sheets) may make this a tight match.
Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers played Dungannon Swifts in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Dungannon Swifts: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Dungannon Swifts scores 1.29 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 61%, Dungannon Swifts 33%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 57%, Dungannon Swifts 46%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dungannon Swifts has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.33. Carrick Rangers: 10.0 shots per match, Dungannon Swifts: 11.5.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52. Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (11 goals). Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dungannon Swifts presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.4 points per match compared to 1.6 points for Carrick Rangers. The hosts have a very weak home record with just 18% wins and a staggering 64% losses, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match at home. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (5th place vs 11th place) and have won four of their last five meetings, showing solid defense with just two goals conceded in that period. Dungannon also has the advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and better shooting efficiency (11% vs 9%). Despite difficulties on the road (50% losses), current form and qualitative advantage speak for an away victory, although Carrick's solid defense (27% clean sheets) may make this a tight match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dungannon Swifts is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 2.4 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dungannon Swifts is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.29 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.42 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Dungannon Swifts scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Dungannon Swifts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dungannon Swifts is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.29 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Dungannon Swifts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.76 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Carrick Rangers 1 - 1 - 0 Dungannon Swifts. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 5:1 Dungannon Swifts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 1, Dungannon Swifts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
Carrick Rangers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Dungannon Swifts 1.29. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 33% of Dungannon Swifts's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dungannon Swifts 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?
The statistical background for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.