Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa: match statistics
Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavalry FC played Atlético Ottawa in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Venue: Spruce Meadows. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Cavalry FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atlético Ottawa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavalry FC scores 1.94 and concedes 0.59 goals per match. Atlético Ottawa scores 1.72 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavalry FC 47%, Atlético Ottawa 72%. Over 2.5: Cavalry FC 47%, Atlético Ottawa 72%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.37. Cavalry FC: 14.5 shots per match, Atlético Ottawa: 12.1.
Match halves
Cavalry FC: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.29. Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Cavalry FC: 76-90+ (10 goals). Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-4. Average goals 3.29, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cavalry FC are top of the table and remain unbeaten at home, winning 75% of their matches with an average of 2.38 goals scored per game. The hosts create significantly more danger than Atlético Ottawa, averaging 17.25 shots and 5.63 shots on target, while their xG stands at 1.88 compared with Ottawa’s 1.22 away from home. Cavalry’s defensive record is equally important, conceding just 0.63 goals per home game, whereas Ottawa allow opponents 2.00 goals and have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of their away matches. Both teams have scored 10 or more goals across their last five games, but Ottawa have lost 56% of their league away matches and have a -6 goal difference on the road. The hosts’ advantage in chance quality, home finishing and defensive organization points to a Cavalry FC victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for BTTS - Yes is clear, as both teams have recorded this outcome very frequently this season: 75% of Cavalry FC’s matches and 78% of Atlético Ottawa’s fixtures. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in 89% of their appearances, conceding an average of 2.0 goals, while the hosts score an average of 1.88 goals at home with an xG of 1.63. Atlético Ottawa have averaged 2.2 goals in their last five matches, generated an xG of 1.73, and recorded BTTS in each of those fixtures. Cavalry FC have been more solid defensively of late, conceding an average of 0.8 goals across their last five matches, but their xG against stands at 1.24, and the visitors’ effective attack should create a genuine chance to score. Additionally, the league’s average BTTS rate is 65%, meaning both teams’ profiles are clearly above the league level that supports goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Cavalry average 1.88 goals per match, while Atlético Ottawa concede as many as 2.00 goals, strongly supporting at least two goals in the game. The hosts create an average of 1.63 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 1.62 xG; additionally, Cavalry register 5.50 shots on target per match compared with Ottawa’s 3.22. In their last five outings, both teams have been offensively effective, scoring 2.0 and 2.2 goals per match respectively, while Ottawa have conceded 10 goals during this period. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 88% of Cavalry’s matches and 89% of Ottawa’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest and safest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, after which Cavalry FC should turn the result in their favor. The hosts were level at the break in 38% of their matches, while Atlético Ottawa were trailing at half-time in as many as 56%; across their last five games, Cavalry scored just 0.6 goals in total before the break and kept a clean sheet in 80% of those halves. After half-time, the hosts’ advantage should grow, as they average 1.50 goals in the second half, while Ottawa concede an average of 2.00 goals per match across the season. Cavalry also have a clearly superior overall record: they win 63% of their matches compared with 33% for the visitors, collect 2.13 points per game versus 1.11, and generate higher xG, 1.63 to 1.22. The X/1 scenario is further supported by the goal distribution: Cavalry have scored 7 goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while the league sees second-half goals in 86% of matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavalry FC | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Ottawa is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1.72 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC is 183% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.59 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1.67 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Atlético Ottawa scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
Over / Under - Atlético Ottawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavalry FC is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 1 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Ottawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cavalry FC | Liga | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 20% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Cavalry FC 2 - 1 - 4 Atlético Ottawa. Average goals 3.29, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Cavalry FC 3:1 Atlético Ottawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Cavalry FC won 2, Atlético Ottawa won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Cavalry FC score 1.94 goals per game on average and Atlético Ottawa 1.72. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cavalry FC's matches and 72% of Atlético Ottawa's.
What form are Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa in?
Over the last 5 games Cavalry FC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético Ottawa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
The statistical background for Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.