Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueSpruce MeadowsData current as of 18 September 2026

Cavalry FC vs Forge FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cavalry FC vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cavalry FC play Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Spruce Meadows.

Current form

Cavalry FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Forge FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cavalry FC scores 1.95 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Forge FC scores 1.57 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cavalry FC 48%, Forge FC 43%. Over 2.5: Cavalry FC 48%, Forge FC 43%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Forge FC has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.66. Cavalry FC: 14.6 shots per match, Forge FC: 14.4.

Match halves

Cavalry FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Forge FC: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Cavalry FC: 76-90+ (11 goals). Forge FC: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Canadian Premier League: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 8 previous H2H matches were available: 3-3-2. Average goals 1.88, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cavalry FCForge FC
1.95Goals scored / match1.57
Cavalry FCForge FC
0.57Goals conceded / match0.71
Cavalry FCForge FC
49%Average possession47%
Cavalry FCForge FC
5.43Shots on target / match4.86
Cavalry FCForge FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.62Shots per match14.38
Cavalry FCForge FC
5.43Shots on target4.86
Cavalry FCForge FC
13.4%Shot conversion10.9%
Cavalry FCForge FC
49%Possession47%
Cavalry FCForge FC
1.66xG for1.67
Cavalry FCForge FC
1.15xG against1.02
Cavalry FCForge FC

Shooting quality

Cavalry FC: AttackingForge FC: Attacking
Cavalry FCForge FC
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cavalry FC is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 2 pts / match - Forge FC

Cavalry FC
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
71% W19% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-4-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Forge FC
WWLDW
Season result split
67% W14% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-4
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cavalry FC is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1.57 goals / match - Forge FC

Cavalry FC is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.57 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 0.71 goals / match - Forge FC

Cavalry FC scoring profile: strong

Cavalry FC scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).

Forge FC scoring profile: strong

Forge FC scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).

41Goals scored (season)33
Cavalry FCForge FC
12Goals conceded (season)15
Cavalry FCForge FC
2.52Average goals in match2.29
Cavalry FCForge FC
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Cavalry FCForge FC
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Cavalry FCForge FC

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal81%
Cavalry FCForge FC
57%2 goals43%
Cavalry FCForge FC
33%3 goals29%
Cavalry FCForge FC
10%4 goals5%
Cavalry FCForge FC

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal52%
Cavalry FCForge FC
0%2 goals19%
Cavalry FCForge FC
0%3 goals0%
Cavalry FCForge FC
0%4 goals0%
Cavalry FCForge FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Cavalry FCForge FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Cavalry FCForge FC
29%Scored in both halves29%
Cavalry FCForge FC

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Cavalry FCForge FC
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Cavalry FCForge FC
60%BTTS - last 540%
Cavalry FCForge FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
Cavalry FCForge FC
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Cavalry FCForge FC
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Cavalry FCForge FC

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Cavalry FCForge FC
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Cavalry FCForge FC
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Cavalry FCForge FC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cavalry FC is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.62 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 1.29 pts / match - Forge FC

Cavalry FC - half-time state
33% leading62% draw5% trailing
Forge FC - half-time state
24% leading57% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.62Points per match (1st half)1.29
Cavalry FCForge FC
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Cavalry FCForge FC
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Cavalry FCForge FC
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.81
Cavalry FCForge FC
86%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Cavalry FCForge FC
62%No goal before half-time67%
Cavalry FCForge FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.95Points per match (2nd half)2.24
Cavalry FCForge FC
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Cavalry FCForge FC
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Cavalry FCForge FC
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.48
Cavalry FCForge FC
57%Clean sheet after half-time76%
Cavalry FCForge FC
24%No goal after half-time24%
Cavalry FCForge FC

Cavalry FC - second-half results

52% W38% D10% L
34
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding215%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forge FC - second-half results

67% W24% D10% L
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding279%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cavalry FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.203.00
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forge FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cavalry FC
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
5
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
8
2
46-60
9
3
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Forge FC
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
7
0
16-30
2
5
31-45
7
3
46-60
9
2
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
81%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cavalry FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Forge FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.65
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

Cavalry FCLigaForge FC
Average goals in match 2.522.96 2.29
Both teams scored 48%62% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%55% 43%
Clean sheets 43%21% 48%
Goal before half-time 43%62% 52%
Goal after half-time 86%84% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
32%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (8): Cavalry FC 3 - 3 - 2 Forge FC. Average goals 1.88, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Cavalry FC
2 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
1 : 0
Cavalry FC
Forge FC
0 : 0
Cavalry FC
Forge FC
0 : 1
Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
Cavalry FC
4 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
1 : 1
Cavalry FC
Forge FC
1 : 0
Cavalry FC

FAQ

When do Cavalry FC and Forge FC play?

Cavalry FC face Forge FC on 19 September 2026 in Canadian Premier League at Spruce Meadows. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cavalry FC and Forge FC?

In the last 8 head-to-head matches Cavalry FC won 3, Forge FC won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.88 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cavalry FC vs Forge FC?

Cavalry FC score 1.95 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.57. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cavalry FC's matches and 43% of Forge FC's.

What form are Cavalry FC and Forge FC in?

Over the last 5 games Cavalry FC have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Forge FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavalry FC vs Forge FC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cavalry FC vs Forge FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.