CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics
CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CDS Tampico Madero play Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 03:00. Venue: Estadio Tamaulipas. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
CDS Tampico Madero: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.38 and concedes 0.98 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.35 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CDS Tampico Madero 57%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%. Over 2.5: CDS Tampico Madero 43%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.32. CDS Tampico Madero: 11.6 shots per match, Tepatitlán de Morelos: 13.2.
Match halves
CDS Tampico Madero: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79. Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
CDS Tampico Madero: 46-60 (15 goals). Tepatitlán de Morelos: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
7 H2H matches: 2-2-3. Average goals 1.14, BTTS 14%.
Match description
Hosts have a significant home advantage: they have won 70% of home matches, score an average of 1.65 goals and concede only 0.75 per game, with a home goal difference of +18. Visitors tend to draw frequently away (58% draws), win only 16% of away matches and average 1.05 goals scored and 1.05 conceded (GD 0 on the road). In the last 5 matches the picture favors the visitors — Tepatitlán averages 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws), 6 scored and 3 conceded, while Tampico averages 1.0 point (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), 4 scored and 6 conceded. xG and chance creation favor the hosts: hosts xG 1.49 vs guests 1.44, more shots on average (14.15 vs 11.89) and higher conversion rate (12% vs 9%), indicating better chance finishing. Considering the strong home record (40% clean sheets, only 20% of matches without a goal) and the visitors’ away tendency to draw and lack of efficiency (42% of away matches without scoring), I forecast a home win; I estimate 55% chance for Tampico, 25% for a draw and 20% for a Tepatitlán win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CDS Tampico Madero | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tepatitlán de Morelos is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.6 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 76% of matches (32 of 42 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (14 of 40 matches).
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 73% of matches (29 of 40 matches), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CDS Tampico Madero
Over / Under — Tepatitlán de Morelos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CDS Tampico Madero is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - CDS Tampico Madero · 1.27 pts / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CDS Tampico Madero
Tepatitlán de Morelos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CDS Tampico Madero | Liga | Tepatitlán de Morelos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): CDS Tampico Madero 2 - 2 - 3 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Average goals 1.14, both teams scored in 14% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
The Ascenso MX match finished CDS Tampico Madero 4:2 Tepatitlán de Morelos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CDS Tampico Madero and Tepatitlán de Morelos?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches CDS Tampico Madero won 2, Tepatitlán de Morelos won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
CDS Tampico Madero score 1.38 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.35. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CDS Tampico Madero's matches and 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.
What form are CDS Tampico Madero and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?
Over the last 5 games CDS Tampico Madero have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.