Celje vs Aluminij: match statistics
Celje vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celje played Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Celje: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Aluminij: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celje scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.60 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celje 56%, Aluminij 50%. Over 2.5: Celje 44%, Aluminij 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.29. Celje: 12.6 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.7.
Match halves
Celje: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Aluminij: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Celje: 76-90+ (4 goals). Aluminij: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aluminij have more arguments in their favor: they have won 2 of their last 5 matches and collected 8 points, while Celje have won once and picked up 4 points. Away from home, the visitors score an average of 2.75 goals and have won 50% of their matches, while the hosts average 1 goal at home and have won 25% of their games. Although Celje tend to dominate possession, averaging 60%, Aluminij have more shots on target away than their opponents record at home: 5.25 compared with 3.25 per match. However, the visitors’ advantage is not a certainty, as their away xG stands at 1.4, while they concede 2.12 xG, and Celje generate 1.6 xG at home. This gives the hosts a chance to score, but Aluminij’s attacking efficiency and recent results tip the prediction in the visitors’ favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Aluminij average 2.75 goals away from home and have averaged 3.6 goals in their last 5 matches, so they are likely to score despite Celje conceding only 1.0 goal per home game. The home side’s scoring prospects are less certain: Celje average 0.83 goals at home and have failed to score in 67% of such matches. However, the visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, while opponents average 2.12 xG against them, increasing the chances of Celje finding the net. BTTS has landed in 75% of Aluminij’s away matches, compared with 33% of Celje’s home matches, so BTTS - Yes has a moderate rather than decisive edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aluminij average 2.75 goals, rising to 3.6 across their last five matches, which supports the expectation that the visitors will score at least once. Celje score just 0.83 goals per game, but their opponents concede an average of 1.25 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Goal potential is also reflected in the xG figures: Aluminij record 1.40, while opponents create chances worth an average of 2.12 xG when facing them. However, only 17% of Celje’s matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, compared with 75% of Aluminij’s, making the higher line a less clear-cut option. With a projected total of 2.85 goals, Over 1.5 is the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time looks most likely: Celje were level at the break in 67% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.33 goals before half-time. Aluminij did lead at the break in 50% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals in the first half, so the 2/2 option remains almost equally strong. The visitors could secure the win in the second half, when they score an average of 1.25 goals compared with Celje’s 0.5. The gap was even greater across their last five matches: Aluminij averaged 1.8 goals after half-time, while Celje scored none. The visitors also average 2.75 goals per match overall, compared with 0.83 for the hosts, which supports an away win despite a cautious start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aluminij is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Celje · 1 pts / match - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aluminij is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Celje · 1.6 goals / match - Aluminij
Aluminij is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Celje · 1.1 goals / match - Aluminij
Celje scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Aluminij scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aluminij is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Celje · 1.4 pts / match - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celje
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.70 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 82% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Celje 4 - 0 - 1 Aluminij. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 1:0 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celje and Aluminij?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Celje won 4, Aluminij won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Aluminij?
Celje score 1.22 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.60. The PrvaLiga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Celje's matches and 50% of Aluminij's.
What form are Celje and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Aluminij 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Aluminij?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.