Clyde vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics

Clyde have a clearly stronger attacking profile at home: they average 3 goals, create chances worth 2.07 xG and register 18 shots per match, compared with Forfar’s 1 goal, 0.88 xG and 5 shots away from home. The hosts won their only home match so far, while their 7 shots on target per game indicate that their advantage in chance creation is no coincidence. Forfar remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw and just 1 goal conceded, while they have collected 10 points from their last five matches compared with Clyde’s 6. The visitors’ away defence allows opponents just 0.78 xG, which significantly increases the likelihood of a closely contested match. Despite Clyde’s weaker recent run, during which they conceded 11 goals in five matches, home advantage and a significantly higher quality of chances created give the hosts a slight edge.

Clyde have conceded an average of 2.2 goals over their last 5 matches, while their opponents created chances worth 1.76 xG against them, clearly increasing Forfar Athletic’s chances of scoring. Forfar averaged 1.6 goals per game during this period and scored 8 goals in total, so they should be able to exploit the hosts’ weaker current defensive form. Clyde also have attacking arguments: they average 4.5 shots on target per match, while Forfar have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games. The latest BTTS figures stand at 60% for Clyde and 40% for Forfar, compared with a league average of 47%, so the signal for both teams to score is moderately positive. The main risk is Clyde’s excellent season-long defence, which has not conceded a goal so far; however, their current defensive form supports the BTTS - Yes scenario more strongly.

The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as Clyde averaged 3.4 total goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals per game. During the same period, Forfar Athletic scored 1.6 goals per match, while 60% of their games went Over 2.5 goals. Clyde’s defence allowed opponents an xG of 1.76, clearly above Forfar’s attacking xG of 0.92, which supports the visitors’ chances of scoring. A total projection of 2.55 goals, combined with the fact that both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 50% and 100% of their matches so far this season, respectively, gives a clear edge to Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Forfar Athletic victory at full-time, as Clyde were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Forfar led at half-time in 3 of their 5 games during the same period. The visitors are clearly more stable in terms of current form: they have averaged 2.0 points per match and won 60% of their last five games, whereas Clyde have averaged 1.2 points and suffered defeats in 60% of those matches. The second half is crucial, with Clyde conceding an average of 1.8 goals recently, while Forfar have allowed opponents just 0.2 goals and finished the second half level in 80% of their matches. Although Clyde have won both of their home games so far without conceding, this is a very small sample; more recent data suggests that, after an even first half, the visitors have stronger grounds to turn the result in their favour.