Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connah's Quay played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Connah's Quay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Barry Town United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connah's Quay scores 2.00 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.38 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connah's Quay 66%, Barry Town United 45%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 72%, Barry Town United 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.41. Connah's Quay: 13.1 shots per match, Barry Town United: 11.0.
Match halves
Connah's Quay: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.14. Barry Town United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (14 goals). Barry Town United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay show a clear seasonal and home advantage: 2nd in the table, 2.29 home goals per match and 0% FTS, indicating high home offensive efficiency. Home shot and xG stats (avg 14.86 shots and xG 2.03 at home) outperform Barry Town’s away figures (9.57 shots, xG 1.28), increasing the likelihood of creating scoring opportunities. Visitors have good last-5 form and high PPG (2.4) but less stable away results (win 29%, FTS 29%, avg 1.21 goals). Home defense is also slightly better than Barry’s away defense, reducing visitors’ win chances. Given the home advantage, superior efficiency and volume of chances, a Connah's Quay win is more probable.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats indicate Connah's Quay’s home defensive edge — season conceded avg 0.67 and season CS% 53% — which strongly reduces BTTS probability. Barry Town has decent away offensive metrics (xG 1.28, season 1.21) and higher season BTTS (57%), but limited SOT (4.0) restricts chance creation. xG_against for hosts (1.15) suggests moderate opponent chances, yet actual home defensive figures show greater resilience than xG implies. Mixed form and last 5, but key home indicators (high CS%, low conceded avg) argue against BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Available data give total expected xG ~2.76 (1.54 home vs 1.22 away), strongly supporting at least two goals. Visitors have high season Over1.5 (79%) and high Over0.5, while hosts also generate over 1.5 xG and many shots, increasing offensive tempo. Visitor BTTS rate and shots on goal suggest both sides have realistic scoring chances. Over 2.5 is possible but less certain; Over 3.5 has lower probability based on season stats for higher thresholds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a half-time draw and a home win at full-time. Connah's Quay has a significant seasonal advantage (PPG 1.73 vs 1.14, better goal difference and lower conceded averages) and stronger second halves (ppg_2hg_home 1.67, high 2nd-half win rate). Hosts also often draw at HT (drawingAtHTPercentage_home 67%, concededAVGHT_home 0.33), increasing HT draw probability. In the second half experience and attacking superiority should tilt the result to the hosts, so I recommend HT/FT X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barry Town United is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 2.4 pts / match - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.38 goals / match - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.07 goals / match - Barry Town United
Connah's Quay scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Barry Town United scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.34 pts / match - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connah's Quay
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Connah's Quay 1 - 1 - 1 Barry Town United. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 1:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connah's Quay and Barry Town United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Connah's Quay won 1, Barry Town United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Connah's Quay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Connah's Quay's matches and 45% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barry Town United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.