Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Domingo Burgueño MiguelData current as of 20 October 2026

Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Deportivo Maldonado play Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.

Current form

Deportivo Maldonado: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Danubio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.58 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Danubio scores 0.82 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 48%, Danubio 45%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 42%, Danubio 36%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.27. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.1 shots per match, Danubio: 9.8.

Match halves

Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.82. Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (17 goals). Danubio: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.87)
(3.24)
(3.82)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
1.58Goals scored / match0.82
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0.94Goals conceded / match1.24
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
53%Average possession50%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
4.12Shots on target / match3.36
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.06Shots per match9.79
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
4.12Shots on target3.36
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
14.2%Shot conversion8.4%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
53%Possession50%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
1.4xG for1.27
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
1.27xG against1.32
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

Shooting quality

Deportivo Maldonado: Efficient finishingDanubio: Balanced
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Maldonado is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.4 pts / match - Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado
WWWDL
Season result split
52% W24% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-8-8
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-5-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Danubio
DLWLW
Season result split
18% W42% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-14-13
0.97 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Maldonado is 93% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.82 goals / match - Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.24 goals / match - Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Maldonado scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

Danubio scoring profile: mixed

Danubio scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

52Goals scored (season)27
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
31Goals conceded (season)41
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
2.52Average goals in match2.06
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
10Goals scored (last 5)4
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal55%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
48%2 goals21%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
18%3 goals3%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
9%4 goals3%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal76%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
30%2 goals30%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
6%3 goals12%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0%4 goals6%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Deportivo Maldonado - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 33 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time12%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
6%BTTS in both halves3%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
30%Scored in both halves9%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
40%BTTS - last 540%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Maldonado is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.39 pts / match - Danubio

Deportivo Maldonado - half-time state
39% leading48% draw12% trailing
Danubio - half-time state
30% leading48% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.39
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.36
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
1.24Average goals (1st half)0.85
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
61%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
42%No goal before half-time61%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per match (2nd half)0.79
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.21
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
67%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio
45%No goal after half-time76%
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio

Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
55
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Danubio - second-half results

12% W42% D45% L
46
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Maldonado - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Danubio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Deportivo Maldonado
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
11
7
31-45
6
0
46-60
4
6
61-75
17
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
6
5
16-30
4
6
31-45
3
11
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Deportivo Maldonado

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Deportivo MaldonadoLigaDanubio
Average goals in match▲ 2.522.37▼ 2.06
Both teams scored▼ 48%50%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%44%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▲ 42%29%▼ 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%67%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time• 73%73%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 - 0 Danubio. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio play?

Deportivo Maldonado face Danubio on 24 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maldonado won 1, Danubio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?

Deportivo Maldonado score 1.58 goals per game on average and Danubio 0.82. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 45% of Danubio's.

What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio in?

Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Danubio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.