Ireland - Premier DivisionData current as of 19 October 2026

Derry City vs Dundalk: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Derry City vs Dundalk: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Derry City play Dundalk in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 23 October 2026.

Current form

Derry City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Dundalk: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Derry City scores 1.36 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Dundalk scores 1.50 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Derry City 61%, Dundalk 76%. Over 2.5: Derry City 48%, Dundalk 62%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Dundalk has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.63. Derry City: 14.2 shots per match, Dundalk: 16.1.

Match halves

Derry City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.85. Dundalk: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Derry City: 76-90+ (13 goals). Dundalk: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.73)
(3.90)
(4.18)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.36Goals scored / match1.5
Derry CityDundalk
1.33Goals conceded / match1.65
Derry CityDundalk
56%Average possession52%
Derry CityDundalk
4.85Shots on target / match5.24
Derry CityDundalk

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.21Shots per match16.06
Derry CityDundalk
4.85Shots on target5.24
Derry CityDundalk
9.6%Shot conversion9.3%
Derry CityDundalk
56%Possession52%
Derry CityDundalk
1.63xG for1.77
Derry CityDundalk
1.27xG against1.49
Derry CityDundalk

Shooting quality

Derry City: DominantDundalk: Attacking
Derry CityDundalk
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Derry City is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Derry City · 0.4 pts / match - Dundalk

Derry City
DWDWL
Season result split
27% W42% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-14-10
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Dundalk
DLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W35% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-12-12
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-9-4
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dundalk is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Derry City · 1.5 goals / match - Dundalk

Derry City is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Derry City · 1.65 goals / match - Dundalk

Derry City scoring profile: very strong

Derry City scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).

Dundalk scoring profile: very strong

Dundalk scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).

45Goals scored (season)51
Derry CityDundalk
44Goals conceded (season)56
Derry CityDundalk
2.7Average goals in match3.15
Derry CityDundalk
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Derry CityDundalk
7Goals conceded (last 5)11
Derry CityDundalk

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal91%
Derry CityDundalk
42%2 goals41%
Derry CityDundalk
12%3 goals12%
Derry CityDundalk
6%4 goals3%
Derry CityDundalk

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal85%
Derry CityDundalk
42%2 goals53%
Derry CityDundalk
9%3 goals21%
Derry CityDundalk
6%4 goals6%
Derry CityDundalk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time26%
Derry CityDundalk
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Derry CityDundalk
21%Scored in both halves29%
Derry CityDundalk

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Derry CityDundalk
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Derry CityDundalk
40%BTTS - last 580%
Derry CityDundalk

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
Derry CityDundalk
15%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Derry CityDundalk
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Derry CityDundalk

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Derry CityDundalk
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Derry CityDundalk
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Derry CityDundalk

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derry City - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Dundalk - half-time state
35% leading29% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.35
Derry CityDundalk
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Derry CityDundalk
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Derry CityDundalk
1Average goals (1st half)1.44
Derry CityDundalk
55%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Derry CityDundalk
58%No goal before half-time44%
Derry CityDundalk

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Derry CityDundalk
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Derry CityDundalk
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Derry CityDundalk
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Derry CityDundalk
42%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Derry CityDundalk
45%No goal after half-time35%
Derry CityDundalk

Derry City - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dundalk - second-half results

29% W32% D38% L
46
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Derry City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Dundalk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Derry City
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
7
9
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
11
46-60
8
6
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Dundalk
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
12
7
16-30
5
11
31-45
4
13
46-60
3
7
61-75
19
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Derry City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Dundalk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

Derry CityLigaDundalk
Average goals in match• 2.702.79▲ 3.15
Both teams scored• 61%61%▲ 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 48%52%▲ 62%
Clean sheets▲ 27%24%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time• 73%74%▲ 79%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Derry City 0 - 2 - 1 Dundalk. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Derry City and Dundalk play?

Derry City face Dundalk on 23 October 2026 in Premier Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Dundalk?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Derry City won 0, Dundalk won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs Dundalk?

Derry City score 1.36 goals per game on average and Dundalk 1.50. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Derry City's matches and 76% of Dundalk's.

What form are Derry City and Dundalk in?

Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Dundalk 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs Dundalk?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.