Derry City vs Shelbourne: match statistics
Derry City vs Shelbourne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derry City played Shelbourne in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Brandywell Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Derry City: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Shelbourne: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derry City scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Shelbourne scores 1.53 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derry City 61%, Shelbourne 76%. Over 2.5: Derry City 50%, Shelbourne 65%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Shelbourne has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.59. Derry City: 13.1 shots per match, Shelbourne: 14.5.
Match halves
Derry City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.72. Shelbourne: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Derry City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Shelbourne: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shelbourne are the match favorites: in the last 5 fixtures the visitors have 3 wins and 2 draws (avg. 2.2 points per game), while Derry have not won in that period — 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss (avg. 0.8 points per game). The visitors are more efficient in finishing chances — Shelbourne average 1.63 goals away with a conversion rate around 13%, whereas Derry at home average 1.44 goals with a conversion around 9%. Derry, however, generate higher-quality chances (xG 1.94 at home vs xG 1.42 for Shelbourne away) and attempt more shots (avg. 16.11 shots and 6.22 on target for Derry vs 12.88 shots and 3.88 on target for Shelbourne), but the gap in goals scored points to poorer finishing by the hosts. In summary, the visitors’ attack looks stronger recently (Shelbourne 7 goals in 5 matches vs 4 for Derry) and Shelbourne have a better away goal difference (+4 vs +2 for the hosts), as well as a lower away loss rate (13% vs 22% for Derry in home games). Considering form, higher efficiency (13% vs 9%) and the fact Shelbourne had no goalless away matches (0%), I predict a win for the visitors, although Derry’s high home draw rate (44%) keeps a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are very high: Derry City have 78% of matches with both teams scoring and Shelbourne 75%, averaging around 76% and exceeding the league average of 60%. Clean sheets are rare: Derry 22% and Shelbourne 25%, meaning in practice 75–78% of cases see goals at both ends for these teams. Creative/data metrics confirm goal risk — attacking xG is 1.75 for Derry and 1.42 for Shelbourne, and in the last 5 matches xG was 1.61 and 1.83 respectively, together over 3.4 xG per match. In the last 5 fixtures Derry scored 4 goals (0.8/match) and conceded 5 (1.0/match), while Shelbourne scored 7 (1.4/match) and conceded 4 (0.8/match), which shows both teams both score and concede; additionally more than half of both teams’ matches finish over 2.5 goals (67% and 63%). Considering the seasonal 78%/75%, low clean sheets 22%/25% and high xG and over 2.5 figures, I assess BTTS probability at 80% (No 20%) and recommend a BTTS - Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.57 goals for Derry (home xG 1.75 vs xG conceded to Shelbourne 1.38 → ≈1.57) and 1.38 for Shelbourne (xG 1.42 vs xG conceded to Derry 1.34 → 1.38), yielding a total of approximately 2.95 goals. Seasonal metrics support the Over: Derry have exceeded 2.5 goals in 67% of matches, Shelbourne in 63%, and in 78% and 75% of games respectively both teams have scored at least once. Derry generate more chances — on average 15.89 shots and 5.0 on target with xG 1.75, while Shelbourne average 12.88 shots and 3.88 on target with xG 1.42; despite lower finishing efficiency for Derry (9% vs 13%) the superiority in chance creation increases goal probability. In the last 5 matches Shelbourne recorded Over 2.5 in 60% of fixtures, Derry only 20%, but high second-half activity (over 0.5 goals in 2H: 67% for Derry and 88% for Shelbourne) and the combined xG ≈2.95 favor Over 2.5. Therefore I recommend an Over 2.5 goals bet as the strongest signal (implied probability Over 72% / Under 28%), with a very high probability of over 1.5 goals (86%) and relatively low confidence for Over 3.5 (36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Shelbourne are the favorites for the Full-Time result: they have a 63% win rate this season versus Derry’s 11%, and their average goals scored is 1.63 (away) versus 1.44 (home), while the visitors’ defense concedes only 1.13 goals per game compared to 1.78 for the hosts. At Half-Time a draw is more likely — the hosts have been level at the break in 67% of their matches, and first-half goal averages are similar (0.56 vs 0.75). Shelbourne are stronger after the break: in the last five matches the visitors average 1.8 points in second halves versus 0.8 for the hosts, which increases the chance of a turnaround after the 45th minute. Both teams have a high share of matches where both sides score (78% for the hosts vs 75% for the visitors), and Derry generate 1.75 xG while allowing 1.34 xG to their goal, so I expect goals and a Half-Time draw followed by a Shelbourne victory (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derry City | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shelbourne is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Derry City · 2.2 pts / match - Shelbourne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shelbourne is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Derry City · 1.53 goals / match - Shelbourne
Derry City is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Derry City · 1.47 goals / match - Shelbourne
Derry City scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Shelbourne scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derry City
Over / Under - Shelbourne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derry City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Derry City · 1.24 pts / match - Shelbourne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shelbourne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derry City
Shelbourne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Derry City | Liga | Shelbourne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.71 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Derry City 3 - 1 - 2 Shelbourne. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derry City vs Shelbourne?
The Premier Division match finished Derry City 0:0 Shelbourne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and Shelbourne?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Derry City won 3, Shelbourne won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Derry City score 1.17 goals per game on average and Shelbourne 1.53. The Premier Division average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Derry City's matches and 76% of Shelbourne's.
What form are Derry City and Shelbourne in?
Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Shelbourne 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs Shelbourne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Derry City vs Shelbourne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.