Ireland - Premier DivisionData current as of 16 October 2026

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Derry City play St Patrick's Athl. in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 19 October 2026.

Current form

Derry City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. St Patrick's Athl.: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Derry City scores 1.41 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.63 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Derry City 63%, St Patrick's Athl. 38%. Over 2.5: Derry City 50%, St Patrick's Athl. 34%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.60. Derry City: 13.7 shots per match, St Patrick's Athl.: 17.3.

Match halves

Derry City: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.88. St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Derry City: 76-90+ (13 goals). St Patrick's Athl.: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-4-1. Average goals 1.43, BTTS 29%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.92)
(3.65)
(2.31)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1.41Goals scored / match1.63
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1.31Goals conceded / match0.78
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
55%Average possession55%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
4.84Shots on target / match5.69
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.72Shots per match17.28
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
4.84Shots on target5.69
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
10.3%Shot conversion9.4%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
55%Possession55%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1.6xG for1.91
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1.29xG against1.21
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Shooting quality

Derry City: BalancedSt Patrick's Athl.: Dominant
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

St Patrick's Athl. is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Derry City · 2.4 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City
LDWDW
Season result split
28% W44% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-14-9
1.28 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
St Patrick's Athl.
WLWWW
Season result split
53% W25% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-8-7
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St Patrick's Athl. is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.41 goals / match - Derry City · 1.63 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl. is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Derry City · 0.78 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City scoring profile: strong

Derry City scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 41% (13 of 32 matches).

St Patrick's Athl. scoring profile: strong

St Patrick's Athl. scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).

45Goals scored (season)52
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
42Goals conceded (season)25
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
2.72Average goals in match2.41
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
10Goals scored (last 5)9
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
10Goals conceded (last 5)2
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal69%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
44%2 goals50%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
13%3 goals28%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
6%4 goals16%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal59%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
41%2 goals19%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
9%3 goals0%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
6%4 goals0%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
St Patrick's Athl. - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 32 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time13%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
22%Scored in both halves28%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
60%BTTS - last 50%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St Patrick's Athl. is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Derry City · 1.59 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City - half-time state
34% leading34% draw31% trailing
St Patrick's Athl. - half-time state
41% leading38% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.59
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1Average goals (1st half)1.16
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
56%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
56%No goal before half-time53%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.69
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
1.72Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
44%Clean sheet after half-time72%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
44%No goal after half-time50%
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.

Derry City - second-half results

28% W38% D34% L
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results

47% W28% D25% L
51
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derry City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
St Patrick's Athl. - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Derry City
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
7
9
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
11
46-60
8
6
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

St Patrick's Athl.
ScoredConceded
8
7
0-15
8
1
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
1
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Derry City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

St Patrick's Athl.

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
51%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

Derry CityLigaSt Patrick's Athl.
Average goals in match• 2.722.80▼ 2.41
Both teams scored▲ 63%61%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%52%▼ 34%
Clean sheets▲ 28%24%▲ 41%
Goal before half-time▼ 72%74%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time• 78%77%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Derry City 2 - 4 - 1 St Patrick's Athl.. Average goals 1.43, both teams scored in 29% matches.

St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1
Derry City
Derry City
0 : 0
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0
Derry City
Derry City FC
2 : 2
St Patrick's Athletic FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
0 : 1
Derry City FC
Derry City FC
1 : 0
St Patrick's Athletic FC
St Patrick's Athletic FC
2 : 0
Derry City FC

FAQ

When do Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. play?

Derry City face St Patrick's Athl. on 19 October 2026 in Premier Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and St Patrick's Athl.?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Derry City won 2, St Patrick's Athl. won 1 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Derry City score 1.41 goals per game on average and St Patrick's Athl. 1.63. The Premier Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Derry City's matches and 38% of St Patrick's Athl.'s.

What form are Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. in?

Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and St Patrick's Athl. 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

The statistical background for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.