Scotland - League TwoData current as of 15 October 2026

Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dumbarton play Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Dumbarton: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stirling Albion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dumbarton scores 1.10 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.30 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dumbarton 50%, Stirling Albion 50%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 70%, Stirling Albion 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Stirling Albion has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.09. Dumbarton: 7.7 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 8.1.

Match halves

Dumbarton: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.10.

Goals by minute

Dumbarton: 61-75 (3 goals). Stirling Albion: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.46 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.26)
(3.65)
(2.68)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

DumbartonStirling Albion
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.7Goals conceded / match2.3
DumbartonStirling Albion
47%Average possession52%
DumbartonStirling Albion
3.5Shots on target / match4.8
DumbartonStirling Albion

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.7Shots per match8.1
DumbartonStirling Albion
3.5Shots on target4.8
DumbartonStirling Albion
14.3%Shot conversion16%
DumbartonStirling Albion
47%Possession52%
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.09xG for1.17
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.53xG against1.4
DumbartonStirling Albion

Shooting quality

Dumbarton: Counter-attackingStirling Albion: Efficient finishing
DumbartonStirling Albion
Accuracy (shots on target)45%59%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dumbarton is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Dumbarton · 1.4 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton
WLWWL
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-6
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Stirling Albion
LLDWW
Season result split
30% W20% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-5
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stirling Albion is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.3 goals / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Dumbarton · 2.3 goals / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton scoring profile: very strong

Dumbarton scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Stirling Albion scoring profile: very strong

Stirling Albion scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)13
DumbartonStirling Albion
17Goals conceded (season)23
DumbartonStirling Albion
2.8Average goals in match3.6
DumbartonStirling Albion
9Goals scored (last 5)7
DumbartonStirling Albion
7Goals conceded (last 5)11
DumbartonStirling Albion

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal70%
DumbartonStirling Albion
30%2 goals50%
DumbartonStirling Albion
10%3 goals10%
DumbartonStirling Albion
0%4 goals0%
DumbartonStirling Albion

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
DumbartonStirling Albion
60%2 goals60%
DumbartonStirling Albion
30%3 goals40%
DumbartonStirling Albion
0%4 goals20%
DumbartonStirling Albion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
DumbartonStirling Albion
0%BTTS in both halves0%
DumbartonStirling Albion
20%Scored in both halves10%
DumbartonStirling Albion

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
DumbartonStirling Albion
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
DumbartonStirling Albion
80%BTTS - last 560%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
DumbartonStirling Albion
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
DumbartonStirling Albion
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
DumbartonStirling Albion

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
DumbartonStirling Albion
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
DumbartonStirling Albion
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dumbarton is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Dumbarton · 0.5 pts / match - Stirling Albion

Dumbarton - half-time state
30% leading20% draw50% trailing
Stirling Albion - half-time state
10% leading20% draw70% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)0.5
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.2
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)1.6
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.8
DumbartonStirling Albion
50%Clean sheet before half-time20%
DumbartonStirling Albion
60%No goal before half-time80%
DumbartonStirling Albion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.9
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
DumbartonStirling Albion
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
DumbartonStirling Albion
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.8
DumbartonStirling Albion
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
DumbartonStirling Albion
50%No goal after half-time40%
DumbartonStirling Albion

Dumbarton - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stirling Albion - second-half results

60% W10% D30% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.9

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stirling Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.00
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.60.6
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-7+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Stirling Albion
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
6
16-30
0
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
5
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Stirling Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.90
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

DumbartonLigaStirling Albion
Average goals in match▼ 2.803.46▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▼ 50%58%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%66%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 20%22%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 80%84%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.46
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / match
1.50
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Dumbarton 1 - 2 - 2 Stirling Albion. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 80% matches.

FAQ

When do Dumbarton and Stirling Albion play?

Dumbarton face Stirling Albion on 17 October 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Stirling Albion?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1, Stirling Albion won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton score 1.10 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.30. The League Two average is 3.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Dumbarton's matches and 50% of Stirling Albion's.

What form are Dumbarton and Stirling Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stirling Albion 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.