Dundee vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundee played Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Dundee: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kilmarnock: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundee scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and concedes 2.30. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundee 70%, Kilmarnock 50%. Over 2.5: Dundee 60%, Kilmarnock 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Dundee has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.22. Dundee: 12.8 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 10.7.
Match halves
Dundee: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Dundee: 31-45+ (3 goals). Kilmarnock: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dundee have home advantage: they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Kilmarnock score 1.25 and concede 1.75 goals per away match. The hosts have picked up points in 4 of their 5 home games, whereas the visitors have lost half of their away fixtures. Both teams have identical records over their last five matches—2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat each—so current form does not give Dundee a clear edge. The quality of chances created is also almost identical: average xG stands at 1.33 for the hosts and 1.32 for the visitors. The pick for Dundee is based primarily on their stronger defensive record across the season: 10 goals conceded compared with Kilmarnock's 20, although the teams' similar xG leaves a genuine chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 100% of Dundee's games and 80% of Kilmarnock's, a stronger signal than their season averages of 60% and 50%, respectively. Dundee concede an average of 2.6 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, making an away goal likely. Dundee, meanwhile, score an average of 1.0 goal at home, while Kilmarnock concede 1.75 goals away, so the hosts could also find the net. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is that Kilmarnock keep a clean sheet in 50% of their away matches, while Dundee fail to score in 40% of their home games. Despite this, the recent run and average xG of 1.22 for Dundee and 1.32 for Kilmarnock point to both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dundee concede an average of 2.6 goals per match, while opponents create chances worth 2.02 xG against them, which bodes well for Kilmarnock to score. On the other hand, the hosts generate 1.22 xG, while Kilmarnock’s opponents average 1.84 xG, giving Dundee a solid chance of finding the net as well. Over their last 5 matches, both teams averaged at least 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, although games with over 2.5 goals accounted for 80% of Dundee’s matches compared with 40% of Kilmarnock’s. Therefore, the projected total of 3.0 goals most strongly supports Over 1.5 goals: this line landed in 80% of Dundee’s matches, and backing it is less dependent on a third goal than betting on a higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dundee’s defensive record is the strongest indicator before the break: the hosts concede an average of 1.6 goals in the first half and were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 matches, while Kilmarnock concede an average of 1.0 in that period. Across full matches, Dundee concede 2.6 goals on average, compared with 1.75 for the visitors, while opponents’ xG stands at 2.02 and 1.84 respectively, supporting the case for Kilmarnock to maintain their advantage. The visitors also average 5.0 shots on target per match, compared with Dundee’s 3.6, and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while the hosts have yet to do so. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick carries only a moderate edge: Kilmarnock have led at the break in just 1 of 4 matches, and both teams have earned 1.6 points per match over their last five games, making a draw at half-time followed by an away win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Dundee · 1 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Dundee is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Dundee · 2.3 goals / match - Kilmarnock
Dundee scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Kilmarnock scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Dundee keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundee
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Dundee · 0.9 pts / match - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundee
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Dundee 1 - 2 - 1 Kilmarnock. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Dundee 3:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Kilmarnock?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dundee won 1, Kilmarnock won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee score 1.40 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Dundee's matches and 50% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Dundee and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kilmarnock 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Dundee vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.