Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dungannon Swifts play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Dungannon Swifts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dungannon Swifts scores 1.17 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dungannon Swifts 44%, Carrick Rangers 67%. Over 2.5: Dungannon Swifts 59%, Carrick Rangers 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Dungannon Swifts has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.32. Dungannon Swifts: 10.8 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.7.
Match halves
Dungannon Swifts: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.49. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Dungannon Swifts: 16-30 (10 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back a Carrick Rangers win (2): the visitors are in markedly better form over the last five matches — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 15 goals in that span (3.0 per game), while Dungannon Swifts have failed to win any of their last 5 (0-0-5) and conceded 20 goals (4.0 per game). Over the season Carrick have 64 goals scored versus Dungannon’s 42; hosts generate slightly more on-target shots at home (5.16 vs 4.42 per game), but the visitors are more efficient in finishing — conversion 17% vs 12%, which translates to 1.68 away goals per game vs 1.47 for the home side. xG indicates Dungannon creates higher-quality chances at home (xG 1.65 vs away xG 1.31), however Carrick are better at converting those opportunities (15 goals in the last 5). Defensively the edge is also with the visitors: Dungannon have conceded 77 goals this season vs Carrick’s 58, and they concede on average 1.58 goals per game at home compared to Carrick’s 1.42 conceded on the road. Given form, the visitors’ superior efficiency and the hosts’ recent defensive issues, I assess Carrick at 65% probability, draw 20% and Dungannon win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dungannon Swifts | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.67 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts scores in 66% of matches (27 of 41 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Dungannon Swifts keeps a clean sheet in 22% (9 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dungannon Swifts
Over / Under — Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.02 pts / match - Dungannon Swifts · 1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dungannon Swifts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dungannon Swifts | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.17 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dungannon Swifts 0 - 1 - 2 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Dungannon Swifts 3:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts won 0, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
Dungannon Swifts score 1.17 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.67. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Dungannon Swifts's matches and 67% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Dungannon Swifts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers?
The statistical background for Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.