Scotland - League TwoBorough BriggsData current as of 03 November 2026

Elgin City vs Dumbarton: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Elgin City vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Elgin City play Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs.

Current form

Elgin City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dumbarton: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Elgin City scores 2.33 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.08 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Elgin City 58%, Dumbarton 58%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 67%, Dumbarton 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.11. Elgin City: 9.5 shots per match, Dumbarton: 7.8.

Match halves

Elgin City: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.42. Dumbarton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Elgin City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Dumbarton: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.35 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Elgin CityDumbarton
2.33Goals scored / match1.08
Elgin CityDumbarton
1.42Goals conceded / match1.67
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%Average possession48%
Elgin CityDumbarton
5.17Shots on target / match3.5
Elgin CityDumbarton

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.5Shots per match7.75
Elgin CityDumbarton
5.17Shots on target3.5
Elgin CityDumbarton
24.6%Shot conversion14%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%Possession48%
Elgin CityDumbarton
1.28xG for1.11
Elgin CityDumbarton
1.2xG against1.54
Elgin CityDumbarton

Shooting quality

Elgin City: Counter-attackingDumbarton: Efficient finishing
Elgin CityDumbarton
Accuracy (shots on target)54%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elgin City is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.4 pts / match - Dumbarton

Elgin City
LWWDW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-3
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Dumbarton
WWLDL
Season result split
33% W8% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-7
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 116% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.08 goals / match - Dumbarton

Elgin City is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.67 goals / match - Dumbarton

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

Dumbarton scoring profile: strong

Dumbarton scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

28Goals scored (season)13
Elgin CityDumbarton
17Goals conceded (season)20
Elgin CityDumbarton
3.75Average goals in match2.75
Elgin CityDumbarton
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Elgin CityDumbarton
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Elgin CityDumbarton

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal75%
Elgin CityDumbarton
50%2 goals25%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%3 goals8%
Elgin CityDumbarton
33%4 goals0%
Elgin CityDumbarton

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal83%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%2 goals58%
Elgin CityDumbarton
17%3 goals25%
Elgin CityDumbarton
8%4 goals0%
Elgin CityDumbarton

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time17%
Elgin CityDumbarton
8%BTTS in both halves0%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%Scored in both halves17%
Elgin CityDumbarton

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Elgin CityDumbarton
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Elgin CityDumbarton
60%BTTS - last 580%
Elgin CityDumbarton

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Elgin CityDumbarton
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Elgin CityDumbarton

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Elgin CityDumbarton
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Elgin CityDumbarton
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Elgin CityDumbarton

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elgin City is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.08 pts / match - Dumbarton

Elgin City - half-time state
42% leading25% draw33% trailing
Dumbarton - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.08
Elgin CityDumbarton
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Elgin CityDumbarton
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Elgin CityDumbarton
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.17
Elgin CityDumbarton
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%No goal before half-time58%
Elgin CityDumbarton

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.17
Elgin CityDumbarton
1.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Elgin CityDumbarton
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Elgin CityDumbarton
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.58
Elgin CityDumbarton
42%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Elgin CityDumbarton
33%No goal after half-time50%
Elgin CityDumbarton

Elgin City - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
18
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dumbarton - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
4
31-45
6
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Elgin CityLigaDumbarton
Average goals in match▲ 3.753.35▼ 2.75
Both teams scored• 58%58%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%63%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 33%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%80%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.35
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Elgin City 1 - 3 - 1 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
Elgin City FC
1 : 1
Dumbarton FC
Dumbarton FC
2 : 2
Elgin City FC
Elgin City FC
2 : 0
Dumbarton FC
Dumbarton FC
1 : 1
Elgin City FC

FAQ

When do Elgin City and Dumbarton play?

Elgin City face Dumbarton on 7 November 2026 in League Two at Borough Briggs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Dumbarton?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Dumbarton won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

Elgin City score 2.33 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.08. The League Two average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Elgin City's matches and 58% of Dumbarton's.

What form are Elgin City and Dumbarton in?

Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

The statistical background for Elgin City vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.