Scotland - League TwoBorough BriggsData current as of 19 September 2026

Elgin City vs Stranraer: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Elgin City vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Elgin City play Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs.

Current form

Elgin City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stranraer: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Elgin City scores 2.57 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Elgin City 57%, Stranraer 43%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 71%, Stranraer 57%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Stranraer has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.28. Elgin City: 9.4 shots per match, Stranraer: 9.3.

Match halves

Elgin City: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29. Stranraer: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Elgin City: 31-45+ (5 goals). Stranraer: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.05)
(3.40)
(2.87)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Elgin CityStranraer
2.57Goals scored / match1.71
Elgin CityStranraer
1.29Goals conceded / match1
Elgin CityStranraer
40%Average possession42%
Elgin CityStranraer
5Shots on target / match4.43
Elgin CityStranraer

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.43Shots per match9.29
Elgin CityStranraer
5Shots on target4.43
Elgin CityStranraer
27.3%Shot conversion18.5%
Elgin CityStranraer
40%Possession42%
Elgin CityStranraer
1.28xG for1.29
Elgin CityStranraer
0.98xG against1.34
Elgin CityStranraer

Shooting quality

Elgin City: Counter-attackingStranraer: Counter-attacking
Elgin CityStranraer
Accuracy (shots on target)53%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.510.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stranraer is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Elgin City · 2.6 pts / match - Stranraer

Elgin City
WDWLL
Season result split
43% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Stranraer
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

2.57 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.71 goals / match - Stranraer

Stranraer is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - Elgin City · 1 goals / match - Stranraer

Elgin City scoring profile: strong

Elgin City scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Stranraer scoring profile: very strong

Stranraer scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

18Goals scored (season)12
Elgin CityStranraer
9Goals conceded (season)7
Elgin CityStranraer
3.86Average goals in match2.71
Elgin CityStranraer
12Goals scored (last 5)11
Elgin CityStranraer
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
Elgin CityStranraer

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal86%
Elgin CityStranraer
57%2 goals57%
Elgin CityStranraer
57%3 goals29%
Elgin CityStranraer
43%4 goals0%
Elgin CityStranraer

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Elgin CityStranraer
43%2 goals29%
Elgin CityStranraer
14%3 goals14%
Elgin CityStranraer
0%4 goals0%
Elgin CityStranraer

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
Elgin CityStranraer
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Elgin CityStranraer
57%Scored in both halves14%
Elgin CityStranraer

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Elgin CityStranraer
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Elgin CityStranraer
60%BTTS - last 540%
Elgin CityStranraer

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Elgin CityStranraer
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Elgin CityStranraer
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Elgin CityStranraer

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Elgin CityStranraer
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Elgin CityStranraer
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Elgin CityStranraer

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elgin City is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.57 pts / match - Stranraer

Elgin City - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing
Stranraer - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per match (1st half)1.57
Elgin CityStranraer
1.29Goals scored (1st half)0.86
Elgin CityStranraer
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Elgin CityStranraer
1.86Average goals (1st half)1.43
Elgin CityStranraer
43%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Elgin CityStranraer
29%No goal before half-time43%
Elgin CityStranraer

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)1.57
Elgin CityStranraer
1.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Elgin CityStranraer
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
Elgin CityStranraer
2Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Elgin CityStranraer
43%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Elgin CityStranraer
29%No goal after half-time57%
Elgin CityStranraer

Elgin City - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stranraer - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
3
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Elgin CityLigaStranraer
Average goals in match 3.863.51 2.71
Both teams scored 57%54% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%66% 57%
Clean sheets 29%23% 43%
Goal before half-time 100%83% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%89% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.51
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.17
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+43%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Elgin City 1 - 1 - 2 Stranraer. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.

FAQ

When do Elgin City and Stranraer play?

Elgin City face Stranraer on 19 September 2026 in League Two at Borough Briggs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Stranraer?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Stranraer won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Elgin City score 2.57 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.71. The League Two average is 3.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Elgin City's matches and 43% of Stranraer's.

What form are Elgin City and Stranraer in?

Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stranraer 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Stranraer?

The statistical background for Elgin City vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.