Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Estrela Amadora play Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 10 September 2026.
Current form
Estrela Amadora: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match. Sporting Braga: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Estrela Amadora scores 2.25 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Estrela Amadora 100%, Sporting Braga 67%. Over 2.5: Estrela Amadora 100%, Sporting Braga 67%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.31. Estrela Amadora: 11.8 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 12.7.
Match halves
Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (4 goals). Sporting Braga: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Estrela Amadora | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 55% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 2.33 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1.67 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Estrela Amadora · 1 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estrela Amadora is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Estrela Amadora · 0.67 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Estrela Amadora | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 2.74 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 45% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 - 0 Sporting Braga. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga play?
Estrela Amadora face Sporting Braga on 10 September 2026 in Liga NOS. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Estrela Amadora won 0, Sporting Braga won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
Estrela Amadora score 2.25 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.67. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Estrela Amadora's matches and 67% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Estrela Amadora have a 1-3-0 record (1.50 points per game) and Sporting Braga 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
The statistical background for Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.