Ethiopia Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
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Ethiopia Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna play Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Addis Ababa Stadium.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-2-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 1.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 50%, Negele Arsi Ketema 50%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 50%, Negele Arsi Ketema 0%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 7%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.14. Ethiopia Bunna: 8.5 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.5.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 46-60 (1 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.21 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 7%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.5 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.5 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.21 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 7% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 36% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ethiopia Bunna 2 - 0 - 0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Ethiopia Bunna and Negele Arsi Ketema play?
Ethiopia Bunna face Negele Arsi Ketema on 21 October 2026 in Ethiopia Premier League at Addis Ababa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ethiopia Bunna and Negele Arsi Ketema?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ethiopia Bunna won 2, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna score 1.00 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 7% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 50% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The statistical background for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negele Arsi Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.