Switzerland - Challenge LeagueData current as of 31 August 2026

Étoile Carouge vs Wil: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Étoile Carouge vs Wil: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Étoile Carouge play Wil in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 4 September 2026.

Current form

Étoile Carouge: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Wil: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Étoile Carouge scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Wil scores 1.40 and concedes 2.80. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Étoile Carouge 40%, Wil 60%. Over 2.5: Étoile Carouge 40%, Wil 60%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Étoile Carouge has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.41. Étoile Carouge: 19.8 shots per match, Wil: 14.6.

Match halves

Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Wil: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Étoile Carouge: 31-45+ (2 goals). Wil: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.2Goals scored / match1.4
Étoile CarougeWil
0.6Goals conceded / match2.8
Étoile CarougeWil
56%Average possession45%
Étoile CarougeWil
5Shots on target / match3.8
Étoile CarougeWil

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.8Shots per match14.6
Étoile CarougeWil
5Shots on target3.8
Étoile CarougeWil
6.1%Shot conversion9.6%
Étoile CarougeWil
56%Possession45%
Étoile CarougeWil
2.02xG for1.41
Étoile CarougeWil
1.2xG against1.7
Étoile CarougeWil

Shooting quality

Étoile Carouge: DominantWil: Attacking
Étoile CarougeWil
Accuracy (shots on target)25%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Étoile Carouge is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Étoile Carouge · 0.8 pts / match - Wil

Étoile Carouge
WDLDW
Season result split
40% W40% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.02Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Wil
WLLLD
Season result split
20% W20% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Wil is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Étoile Carouge · 1.4 goals / match - Wil

Étoile Carouge is 367% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Étoile Carouge · 2.8 goals / match - Wil

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: very strong

Étoile Carouge scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Wil keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Wil scoring profile: mixed

Wil scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

6Goals scored (season)7
Étoile CarougeWil
3Goals conceded (season)14
Étoile CarougeWil
1.8Average goals in match4.2
Étoile CarougeWil
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Étoile CarougeWil
3Goals conceded (last 5)14
Étoile CarougeWil

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal60%
Étoile CarougeWil
40%2 goals20%
Étoile CarougeWil
20%3 goals20%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%4 goals20%
Étoile CarougeWil

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%2 goals80%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%3 goals40%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%4 goals40%
Étoile CarougeWil

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time60%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Étoile CarougeWil
20%Scored in both halves20%
Étoile CarougeWil

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Étoile CarougeWil
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Étoile CarougeWil
40%BTTS - last 560%
Étoile CarougeWil

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Étoile CarougeWil
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time80%
Étoile CarougeWil
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
Étoile CarougeWil

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Étoile CarougeWil
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Étoile CarougeWil
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Étoile CarougeWil

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Wil is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / match - Étoile Carouge · 1 pts / match - Wil

Étoile Carouge - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing
Wil - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)1
Étoile CarougeWil
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1
Étoile CarougeWil
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)1.6
Étoile CarougeWil
1Average goals (1st half)2.6
Étoile CarougeWil
40%Clean sheet before half-time0%
Étoile CarougeWil
60%No goal before half-time40%
Étoile CarougeWil

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)0.4
Étoile CarougeWil
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Étoile CarougeWil
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Étoile CarougeWil
0.8Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Étoile CarougeWil
100%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Étoile CarougeWil
60%No goal after half-time80%
Étoile CarougeWil

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

40% W60% R0% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wil - second-half results

0% W40% R60% P
5
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Étoile Carouge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Wil - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.61.2
Average goals in match2.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Wil
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Wil

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 43% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

Étoile CarougeLigaWil
Average goals in match 1.802.84 4.20
Both teams scored 40%56% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 60%
Clean sheets 40%24% 0%
Goal before half-time 60%84% 100%
Goal after half-time 40%84% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Étoile Carouge 2 - 1 - 1 Wil. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Étoile Carouge and Wil play?

Étoile Carouge face Wil on 4 September 2026 in Challenge League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Étoile Carouge and Wil?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Étoile Carouge won 2, Wil won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Étoile Carouge vs Wil?

Étoile Carouge score 1.20 goals per game on average and Wil 1.40. The Challenge League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Étoile Carouge's matches and 60% of Wil's.

What form are Étoile Carouge and Wil in?

Over the last 5 games Étoile Carouge have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wil 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Étoile Carouge vs Wil?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.