Fafe vs Paredes: match statistics
Fafe displays impressive home form with 58% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.92, and their xG (1.89) significantly exceeds xG Against (1.03), indicating dominance in home matches. Paredes as a visitor wins only 33% of away matches and struggles with efficiency – as many as 33% of their matches end without scoring a goal. The form in the last five matches is comparable (Fafe 1.6 PPG vs Paredes 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage and better offensive and defensive statistics speak in favor of a Fafe victory. The high possession rate (56%) and shot accuracy of the hosts further strengthen this prediction.
Fafe vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fafe played Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fafe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paredes: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fafe scores 1.26 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Paredes scores 1.22 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fafe 52%, Paredes 39%. Over 2.5: Fafe 39%, Paredes 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.44. Fafe: 11.9 shots per match, Paredes: 10.8.
Match halves
Fafe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. Paredes: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Fafe: 76-90+ (7 goals). Paredes: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe displays impressive home form with 58% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts average 1.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.92, and their xG (1.89) significantly exceeds xG Against (1.03), indicating dominance in home matches. Paredes as a visitor wins only 33% of away matches and struggles with efficiency – as many as 33% of their matches end without scoring a goal. The form in the last five matches is comparable (Fafe 1.6 PPG vs Paredes 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage and better offensive and defensive statistics speak in favor of a Fafe victory. The high possession rate (56%) and shot accuracy of the hosts further strengthen this prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fafe is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Fafe · 1.4 pts / match - Paredes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paredes is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Fafe · 0.74 goals / match - Paredes
Fafe scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Paredes scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - Paredes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paredes is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Fafe · 1.91 pts / match - Paredes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paredes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fafe
Paredes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.39 | 2.21 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 39% | 39% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Fafe 1 - 2 - 0 Paredes. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs Paredes?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 1:0 Paredes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fafe and Paredes?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fafe won 1, Paredes won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Paredes?
Fafe score 1.26 goals per game on average and Paredes 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Fafe's matches and 39% of Paredes's.
What form are Fafe and Paredes in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paredes 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Paredes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.