Falkirk vs St. Mirren: match statistics
Falkirk displays a significantly better home form with 40% wins and only 27% losses at home, while St. Mirren has a disastrous away record - just 7% wins and as many as 67% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+7), score an average of 1.67 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 20% of matches, which contrasts with the visitors, who concede an average of 2 goals away and have not kept a single clean sheet. St. Mirren in their last 5 matches have gained just 0.8 points per match and have a negative goal difference of -15 in away matches. xG statistics also favor Falkirk (1.49 vs 1.33), and the advantage in possession (50% vs 46%) and shot accuracy (13% vs 9%) further strengthens the hosts' position. Taking all parameters into account, a Falkirk victory is the most likely scenario of this match.
Falkirk vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Falkirk played St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Falkirk: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. St. Mirren: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Falkirk scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 0.77 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Falkirk 47%, St. Mirren 40%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 50%, St. Mirren 33%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Falkirk has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.36. Falkirk: 12.3 shots per match, St. Mirren: 11.9.
Match halves
Falkirk: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.77. St. Mirren: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Falkirk: 46-60 (10 goals). St. Mirren: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Falkirk displays a significantly better home form with 40% wins and only 27% losses at home, while St. Mirren has a disastrous away record - just 7% wins and as many as 67% losses. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+7), score an average of 1.67 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 20% of matches, which contrasts with the visitors, who concede an average of 2 goals away and have not kept a single clean sheet. St. Mirren in their last 5 matches have gained just 0.8 points per match and have a negative goal difference of -15 in away matches. xG statistics also favor Falkirk (1.49 vs 1.33), and the advantage in possession (50% vs 46%) and shot accuracy (13% vs 9%) further strengthens the hosts' position. Taking all parameters into account, a Falkirk victory is the most likely scenario of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Falkirk | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Falkirk is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Falkirk · 0.2 pts / match - St. Mirren
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falkirk is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Falkirk · 0.77 goals / match - St. Mirren
Falkirk is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.53 goals / match - St. Mirren
Falkirk scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
St. Mirren scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falkirk
Over / Under - St. Mirren
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Falkirk
St. Mirren
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Falkirk | Liga | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Falkirk 1 - 0 - 1 St. Mirren. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Falkirk vs St. Mirren?
The Premiership match finished Falkirk 1:2 St. Mirren. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and St. Mirren?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 1, St. Mirren won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs St. Mirren?
Falkirk score 1.27 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 0.77. The Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Falkirk's matches and 40% of St. Mirren's.
What form are Falkirk and St. Mirren in?
Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and St. Mirren 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs St. Mirren?
The statistical background for Falkirk vs St. Mirren — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.