Firpo vs Águila: match statistics
Firpo vs Águila: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Firpo played Águila in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Firpo: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Águila: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Firpo scores 1.92 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Águila scores 1.31 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Firpo 58%, Águila 49%. Over 2.5: Firpo 54%, Águila 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Firpo has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.46. Firpo: 11.2 shots per match, Águila: 9.8.
Match halves
Firpo: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.26. Águila: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Firpo: 61-75 (26 goals). Águila: 61-75 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-1. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Firpo has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.56 goals and have xG 1.92 with a 60% win rate at their stadium, while Águila away averages 1.08 goals and xG 1.36 with a 50% away win rate. Defensively the hosts are better — Firpo concedes 0.8 goals at home vs Águila’s 0.96 away and records 48% clean sheets vs 46% for the visitors; Firpo’s home loss rate is only 12% vs Águila’s 33% on the road. Offensively Firpo attempts more shots (12.4 vs 9.58) and more shots on target (5.32 vs 4.0), and the risk of the hosts failing to score is lower (24% vs 38%), which increases their chance of scoring. On the other hand Águila shows slightly better form over the last five matches — averaging 1.6 points per game in the last 5 vs Firpo’s 1.4 (form: Águila ddwwl, Firpo ddddw), so a draw or a point for the visitors is possible. Considering the xG advantage (1.92 vs 1.36), lower average goals conceded and the higher number of shots on target, I favour the hosts and back their victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes as the more likely scenario because Firpo has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 100% in the last 5 matches, while Águila has 29% seasonally and 60% in the last 5. Firpo averages 1.52 goals per game with an xG of 1.56, which versus Águila’s xG against of 1.10 indicates a real attacking edge for the hosts. Águila averages 1.08 goals and has xG 1.36 against Firpo’s defense with xG against 1.18, so the visitors also create chances and have scoring potential. Additional metrics show Firpo fail to score in only 11% of matches and keep a clean sheet in 22% (i.e. concede in 78% of games), whereas Águila fails to score in 38% and keeps 46% clean sheets; this combination favors Goal/Goal. Based on this I estimate BTTS at 72% for 'yes' and 28% for 'no', therefore I recommend 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Firpo averages 1.52 goals per game with xG 1.56, while Águila averages 1.08 goals with xG 1.36; defenses show xG against of 1.18 (Firpo) and 1.10 (Águila), which yields expected 1.33 goals for the home side and 1.27 for the visitors (total 2.60). This season Firpo has 81% of matches over 1.5 goals, Águila 63%, giving an average ~72% probability for Over 1.5 and a strong signal to back Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is less convincing: 59% of Firpo’s matches over 2.5 vs 29% for Águila (average 44%), and our 2.60 total is close to the threshold, so it doesn’t offer the same edge. The 3.5 line is unlikely (19% Firpo, 13% Águila, average 16%), and additionally Firpo registers 4.42 shots on target and a 15% conversion rate versus Águila’s 4.0 shots on target and 11% conversion, which further supports Over 1.5 as the best selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Firpo led at the break in 12 matches, i.e. in 46% of games, scoring an average of 0.96 goals by half-time versus Águila's 0.42, which gives the hosts a clear advantage in the first half. However, Águila are stronger after the break: they score an average of 0.67 goals in the second half while Firpo have 0.58, and the overall away win rate is 50% versus 44% for the hosts. The visitors scored 9 goals in the 61–75 minute interval, while Firpo scored 6, suggesting Águila more frequently improve the score after the break and have the ability to overturn deficits. Despite Firpo's higher xG (1.56 vs 1.36) and first-half dominance, the combination of Firpo leading at half-time in 46% of matches with Águila winning 50% of games indicates the most likely scenario is Firpo leading at the break and Águila winning after the final whistle (HT/FT 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Firpo | Águila | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Firpo · 1.6 pts / match - Águila
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Firpo is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Firpo · 1.31 goals / match - Águila
Firpo is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Firpo · 1.12 goals / match - Águila
Firpo scores in 84% of matches (42 of 50 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 33% (17 of 51 matches).
Águila scores in 76% of matches (39 of 51 matches), while Firpo keeps a clean sheet in 32% (16 of 50 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Firpo
Over / Under - Águila
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Firpo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (26 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Firpo
Águila
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Firpo | Liga | Águila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Firpo 3 - 2 - 1 Águila. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Firpo vs Águila?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Firpo 0:1 Águila. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Firpo and Águila?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Firpo won 3, Águila won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Firpo vs Águila?
Firpo score 1.92 goals per game on average and Águila 1.31. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Firpo's matches and 49% of Águila's.
What form are Firpo and Águila in?
Over the last 5 games Firpo have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Águila 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Firpo vs Águila?
The statistical background for Firpo vs Águila — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.