Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueData current as of 08 September 2026

Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forge FC play Atlético Ottawa in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Forge FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Ottawa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forge FC scores 1.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Atlético Ottawa scores 1.62 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forge FC 45%, Atlético Ottawa 71%. Over 2.5: Forge FC 40%, Atlético Ottawa 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Forge FC has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.36. Forge FC: 14.0 shots per match, Atlético Ottawa: 12.0.

Match halves

Forge FC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.05. Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.24.

Goals by minute

Forge FC: 61-75 (9 goals). Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Canadian Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-2. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
1.5Goals scored / match1.62
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0.75Goals conceded / match1.62
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
47%Average possession60%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
4.75Shots on target / match4.29
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match12
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
4.75Shots on target4.29
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
10.7%Shot conversion13.5%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
47%Possession60%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
1.64xG for1.36
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
1.03xG against1.5
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

Shooting quality

Forge FC: AttackingAtlético Ottawa: Efficient finishing
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Ottawa is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Forge FC · 2 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

Forge FC
LWWLD
Season result split
65% W15% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-3-4
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlético Ottawa
WWLWD
Season result split
48% W19% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-7
1.62 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Ottawa is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.62 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa

Forge FC is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Forge FC · 1.62 goals / match - Atlético Ottawa

Forge FC scoring profile: very strong

Forge FC scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

Atlético Ottawa scoring profile: strong

Atlético Ottawa scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).

30Goals scored (season)34
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
15Goals conceded (season)34
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
2.25Average goals in match3.24
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
7Goals scored (last 5)9
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal86%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
40%2 goals43%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
25%3 goals19%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
5%4 goals10%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal81%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
20%2 goals48%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0%3 goals29%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0%4 goals5%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Atlético Ottawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 21 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
30%Scored in both halves14%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
60%BTTS - last 560%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forge FC is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Forge FC · 0.9 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

Forge FC - half-time state
25% leading55% draw20% trailing
Atlético Ottawa - half-time state
19% leading33% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)0.9
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.9
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0.85Average goals (1st half)1.29
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
70%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
65%No goal before half-time71%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.2Points per match (2nd half)1.76
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)1.24
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.95
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
75%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa
25%No goal after half-time29%
Forge FCAtlético Ottawa

Forge FC - second-half results

65% W25% R10% P
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding260%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Ottawa - second-half results

48% W33% R19% P
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forge FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atlético Ottawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forge FC
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
7
0
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
9
2
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Atlético Ottawa
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
6
46-60
7
8
61-75
15
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forge FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Atlético Ottawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

Forge FCLigaAtlético Ottawa
Average goals in match 2.252.95 3.24
Both teams scored 45%64% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%55% 71%
Clean sheets 45%20% 19%
Goal before half-time 55%63% 67%
Goal after half-time 80%84% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Forge FC 2 - 3 - 2 Atlético Ottawa. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Forge FC
1 : 2
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 1
Forge FC
Forge FC
2 : 2
Atlético Ottawa

FAQ

When do Forge FC and Atlético Ottawa play?

Forge FC face Atlético Ottawa on 12 September 2026 in Canadian Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Forge FC and Atlético Ottawa?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Forge FC won 2, Atlético Ottawa won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

Forge FC score 1.50 goals per game on average and Atlético Ottawa 1.62. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Forge FC's matches and 71% of Atlético Ottawa's.

What form are Forge FC and Atlético Ottawa in?

Over the last 5 games Forge FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Ottawa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forge FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.