FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics
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FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FS Jelgava play BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 25 October 2026.
Current form
FS Jelgava: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. BFC Daugavpils: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
FS Jelgava scores 1.03 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.18 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FS Jelgava 42%, BFC Daugavpils 55%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 42%, BFC Daugavpils 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
BFC Daugavpils has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.32. FS Jelgava: 11.0 shots per match, BFC Daugavpils: 12.8.
Match halves
FS Jelgava: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.52. BFC Daugavpils: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
FS Jelgava: 61-75 (7 goals). BFC Daugavpils: 46-60 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-4. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 43%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
BFC Daugavpils is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.6 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BFC Daugavpils is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.18 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1.12 goals / match - BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
BFC Daugavpils scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - BFC Daugavpils
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BFC Daugavpils is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.36 pts / match - BFC Daugavpils
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
BFC Daugavpils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | BFC Daugavpils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): FS Jelgava 1 - 2 - 4 BFC Daugavpils. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
When do FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils play?
FS Jelgava face BFC Daugavpils on 25 October 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 1, BFC Daugavpils won 4 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava score 1.03 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.18. The Virsliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of FS Jelgava's matches and 55% of BFC Daugavpils's.
What form are FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.