Latvia - VirsligaZemgales Olimpiskā centraData current as of 03 November 2026

FS Jelgava vs Riga: match statistics

FS Jelgava crest
FS Jelgava
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Riga crest
Riga

FS Jelgava vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FS Jelgava played Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

FS Jelgava: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Riga: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

FS Jelgava scores 1.07 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Riga scores 2.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FS Jelgava 43%, Riga 60%. Over 2.5: FS Jelgava 40%, Riga 80%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Riga has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.37. FS Jelgava: 11.4 shots per match, Riga: 16.9.

Match halves

FS Jelgava: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.53. Riga: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

FS Jelgava: 61-75 (7 goals). Riga: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-5. Average goals 3.86, BTTS 43%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Riga are the league’s runners-up, with 20 wins from 29 matches and a goal difference of 84:30, while FS Jelgava have won only 8 of 30 games, with a 32:48 goal record. Away from home, the visitors average 2.92 goals per match, register 6.69 shots on target and generate an xG of 1.91, clearly outperforming the hosts’ home averages of 0.87 goals and 1.28 xG. Jelgava fail to score in 53% of their home matches, whereas Riga have been held scoreless in just 8% of their away games, strongly supporting the visitors to find the net. The hosts’ defence also looks vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.60 goals at home and keeping a clean sheet in only 13% of such fixtures, while Riga lose just 15% of their away matches. Recent form is relatively similar, but the superior quality of chances, possession advantage of 61% to 46%, and Riga’s significantly higher conversion rate of 19% compared with 8% point towards an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Riga have recorded BTTS in 69% of their matches this season, compared with 56% for Jelgava, giving a combined figure above the league average of 55%. The visitors have registered BTTS in 100% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals but conceding 1.8 per game. Jelgava averaged 1.4 goals per match during this period, with an xG of 1.68, while Riga allowed opponents just 0.88 xG. Despite the hosts' solid season-long defensive record, including a clean sheet in 44% of matches, both teams retain significant attacking potential: average xG stands at 2.08 for Jelgava and 1.91 for Riga. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for each side, although the possibility of one team keeping a clean sheet still limits confidence in the pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as at least two goals were scored in 94% of Jelgava’s matches and 92% of Riga’s games this season. Both teams create high-quality chances: Jelgava’s average xG is 2.08, compared with 1.91 for Riga, while they average 6.19 and 6.69 shots on target per match, respectively. Riga score an average of 2.92 goals, while Jelgava average 2.88, and the combined league average of 2.93 also points to a game clearing the low 1.5 line. Jelgava’s last five matches were slightly more cautious, with Over 2.5 landing in only 40% of cases, but Riga exceeded this line in 80% of such matches, with both teams scoring in every one of them. The projected total of 2.85 goals also gives Over 2.5 a clear edge, but Over 1.5 goals is by far the most reliable signal.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an FS Jelgava win at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches. During this period, the hosts never led at the break, scoring just 0.4 goals per match before half-time, which clearly limits the probability of the 1/1 outcome. After the break, Jelgava have recently conceded just 0.2 goals per match and kept a clean sheet in 80% of those halves, while Riga concede an average of 1.2 goals. Over a larger sample, the hosts won 75% of their matches and suffered no defeats, with an xG of 2.08 compared with the visitors’ 1.91. Riga remain dangerous, averaging 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches, but they have also conceded 1.8, so after an evenly contested first half, there is stronger justification for the result to turn in the hosts’ favour.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
FS JelgavaRiga
6Shots17
FS JelgavaRiga
0Shots on target4
FS JelgavaRiga
0.56xG1.66
FS JelgavaRiga
1Corners4
FS JelgavaRiga
24Dangerous attacks43
FS JelgavaRiga
9Fouls12
FS JelgavaRiga
4Cards3
FS JelgavaRiga

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.07Goals scored / match2.83
FS JelgavaRiga
1.6Goals conceded / match1
FS JelgavaRiga
46%Average possession63%
FS JelgavaRiga
3.7Shots on target / match6.37
FS JelgavaRiga

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.37Shots per match16.93
FS JelgavaRiga
3.7Shots on target6.37
FS JelgavaRiga
9.4%Shot conversion16.7%
FS JelgavaRiga
46%Possession63%
FS JelgavaRiga
1.37xG for2
FS JelgavaRiga
1.74xG against0.96
FS JelgavaRiga

Shooting quality

FS Jelgava: BalancedRiga: Dominant
FS JelgavaRiga
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FS Jelgava is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 1.2 pts / match - Riga

FS Jelgava
LWWLD
Season result split
27% W27% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-14
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-9
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Riga
DLDDW
Season result split
70% W23% D7% L
Season (W-D-L)
21-7-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +55
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-3-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Riga is 164% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 2.83 goals / match - Riga

Riga is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - FS Jelgava · 1 goals / match - Riga

FS Jelgava scoring profile: mixed

FS Jelgava scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

Riga scoring profile: very strong

Riga scores in 97% of matches (29 of 30 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

32Goals scored (season)85
FS JelgavaRiga
48Goals conceded (season)30
FS JelgavaRiga
2.67Average goals in match3.83
FS JelgavaRiga
7Goals scored (last 5)9
FS JelgavaRiga
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
FS JelgavaRiga

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal97%
FS JelgavaRiga
27%2 goals83%
FS JelgavaRiga
13%3 goals60%
FS JelgavaRiga
10%4 goals30%
FS JelgavaRiga

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal60%
FS JelgavaRiga
33%2 goals27%
FS JelgavaRiga
17%3 goals13%
FS JelgavaRiga
10%4 goals0%
FS JelgavaRiga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time27%
FS JelgavaRiga
0%BTTS in both halves10%
FS JelgavaRiga
20%Scored in both halves57%
FS JelgavaRiga

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
FS JelgavaRiga
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
FS JelgavaRiga
40%BTTS - last 580%
FS JelgavaRiga

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
FS JelgavaRiga
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
FS JelgavaRiga
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
FS JelgavaRiga

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
FS JelgavaRiga
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
FS JelgavaRiga
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
FS JelgavaRiga

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Riga is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - FS Jelgava · 2.1 pts / match - Riga

FS Jelgava - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Riga - half-time state
63% leading20% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)2.1
FS JelgavaRiga
0.53Goals scored (1st half)1.4
FS JelgavaRiga
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
FS JelgavaRiga
1.23Average goals (1st half)1.87
FS JelgavaRiga
47%Clean sheet before half-time63%
FS JelgavaRiga
60%No goal before half-time27%
FS JelgavaRiga

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per match (2nd half)2
FS JelgavaRiga
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
FS JelgavaRiga
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
FS JelgavaRiga
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.97
FS JelgavaRiga
47%Clean sheet after half-time63%
FS JelgavaRiga
67%No goal after half-time20%
FS JelgavaRiga

FS Jelgava - second-half results

27% W30% D43% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Riga - second-half results

57% W30% D13% L
63
Half-time points
42
Half-time goals
+28
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

FS Jelgava - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Riga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FS Jelgava
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
5
8
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Riga
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
15
5
16-30
19
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
12
4
61-75
20
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FS Jelgava

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Riga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
225%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

FS JelgavaLigaRiga
Average goals in match▼ 2.672.88▲ 3.83
Both teams scored▼ 43%54%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%54%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 17%26%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%73%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. RigaYellow cardMaksims Toņiševs
  2. RigaYellow cardBaba Musah
  3. FS JelgavaYellow cardKristers Neilands
  4. RigaYellow cardIago Siqueira Augusto
  5. RigaSubstitutionOn: Caio Ferreira MartinsOff: Raki Aouani
  6. FS JelgavaYellow cardGlebs Žaleiko
  7. FS JelgavaYellow cardJegors Novikovs
  8. FS JelgavaYellow cardJegors Novikovs
  9. FS JelgavaSubstitutionOn: Emīls Kristers ŠmaukstelisOff: Filip Hašek
  10. RigaSubstitutionOn: Abdulrahman TaiwoOff: Muhammed Badamosi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): FS Jelgava 0 - 2 - 5 Riga. Average goals 3.86, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Riga
3 : 0
FS Jelgava
Riga
2 : 2
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
0 : 8
Riga
FS Jelgava
2 : 3
Riga FC
Riga FC
3 : 0
FS Jelgava
Riga FC
2 : 0
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1 : 1
Riga FC

FAQ

What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Riga?

The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 0:1 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Riga?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 0, Riga won 5 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Riga?

FS Jelgava score 1.07 goals per game on average and Riga 2.83. The Virsliga average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of FS Jelgava's matches and 60% of Riga's.

What form are FS Jelgava and Riga in?

Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Riga 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Riga?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.