Georgia - Erovnuli LigaStadioni Mtskheta ParkiData current as of 30 August 2026

Gagra vs Saburtalo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gagra vs Saburtalo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gagra play Saburtalo in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 31 August 2026. Venue: Stadioni Mtskheta Parki.

Current form

Gagra: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Saburtalo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Saburtalo scores 1.50 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gagra 59%, Saburtalo 55%. Over 2.5: Gagra 45%, Saburtalo 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Saburtalo has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.31. Gagra: 10.1 shots per match, Saburtalo: 10.8.

Match halves

Gagra: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.59. Saburtalo: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.70.

Goals by minute

Gagra: 76-90+ (6 goals). Saburtalo: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Erovnuli Liga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-6. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.95Goals scored / match1.5
GagraSaburtalo
1.36Goals conceded / match1.1
GagraSaburtalo
46%Average possession53%
GagraSaburtalo
3.64Shots on target / match4.65
GagraSaburtalo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.05Shots per match10.75
GagraSaburtalo
3.64Shots on target4.65
GagraSaburtalo
9.5%Shot conversion14%
GagraSaburtalo
46%Possession53%
GagraSaburtalo
1.31xG for1.47
GagraSaburtalo
1.61xG against1.33
GagraSaburtalo

Shooting quality

Gagra: BalancedSaburtalo: Efficient finishing
GagraSaburtalo
Accuracy (shots on target)36%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Saburtalo is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Gagra · 1.4 pts / match - Saburtalo

Gagra
DDDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W41% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-8
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Saburtalo
WDLWL
Season result split
50% W20% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-6
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Saburtalo is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

0.95 goals / match - Gagra · 1.5 goals / match - Saburtalo

Saburtalo is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.36 goals / match - Gagra · 1.1 goals / match - Saburtalo

Gagra scoring profile: strong

Gagra scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Saburtalo keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Saburtalo scoring profile: very strong

Saburtalo scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).

21Goals scored (season)30
GagraSaburtalo
30Goals conceded (season)22
GagraSaburtalo
2.32Average goals in match2.6
GagraSaburtalo
4Goals scored (last 5)8
GagraSaburtalo
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
GagraSaburtalo

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal85%
GagraSaburtalo
27%2 goals45%
GagraSaburtalo
0%3 goals15%
GagraSaburtalo
0%4 goals5%
GagraSaburtalo

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal65%
GagraSaburtalo
36%2 goals30%
GagraSaburtalo
14%3 goals10%
GagraSaburtalo
0%4 goals5%
GagraSaburtalo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time25%
GagraSaburtalo
5%BTTS in both halves5%
GagraSaburtalo
5%Scored in both halves25%
GagraSaburtalo

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
GagraSaburtalo
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
GagraSaburtalo
60%BTTS - last 580%
GagraSaburtalo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
GagraSaburtalo
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
GagraSaburtalo
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
GagraSaburtalo

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
GagraSaburtalo
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
GagraSaburtalo
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
GagraSaburtalo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Saburtalo is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Gagra · 1.75 pts / match - Saburtalo

Gagra - half-time state
9% leading59% draw32% trailing
Saburtalo - half-time state
45% leading40% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.75
GagraSaburtalo
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.8
GagraSaburtalo
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
GagraSaburtalo
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.35
GagraSaburtalo
45%Clean sheet before half-time65%
GagraSaburtalo
73%No goal before half-time35%
GagraSaburtalo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per match (2nd half)1.5
GagraSaburtalo
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
GagraSaburtalo
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
GagraSaburtalo
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.25
GagraSaburtalo
45%Clean sheet after half-time55%
GagraSaburtalo
55%No goal after half-time55%
GagraSaburtalo

Gagra - second-half results

18% W55% R27% P
19
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Saburtalo - second-half results

40% W30% R30% P
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding111%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gagra - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Saburtalo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gagra
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Saburtalo
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
1
16-30
6
6
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
2
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gagra

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Saburtalo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

GagraLigaSaburtalo
Average goals in match 2.322.64 2.60
Both teams scored 59%58% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%54% 50%
Clean sheets 14%26% 35%
Goal before half-time 59%67% 75%
Goal after half-time 73%72% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Gagra 0 - 0 - 6 Saburtalo. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Saburtalo
1 : 0
Gagra
Gagra
1 : 2
Saburtalo
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
2 : 1
FC Gagra
FC Gagra
1 : 3
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi
3 : 1
FC Gagra
FC Gagra
0 : 1
FC Saburtalo Tbilisi

FAQ

When do Gagra and Saburtalo play?

Gagra face Saburtalo on 31 August 2026 in Erovnuli Liga at Stadioni Mtskheta Parki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Saburtalo?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Gagra won 0, Saburtalo won 6 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Saburtalo?

Gagra score 0.95 goals per game on average and Saburtalo 1.50. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Gagra's matches and 55% of Saburtalo's.

What form are Gagra and Saburtalo in?

Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Saburtalo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Saburtalo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.