Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipData current as of 23 July 2026

Glentoran vs Larne: match statistics

Glentoran crest
Glentoran
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Larne crest
Larne

Glentoran vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Glentoran play Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Glentoran: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Larne: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Glentoran scores 1.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Larne scores 1.92 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Glentoran 53%, Larne 39%. Over 2.5: Glentoran 53%, Larne 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Glentoran has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.56. Glentoran: 13.3 shots per match, Larne: 12.4.

Match halves

Glentoran: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.08. Larne: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05.

Goals by minute

Glentoran: 31-45+ (17 goals). Larne: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Match description

Glentoran is a slight favorite primarily due to recent form and superiority in chance creation: the hosts have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per match) and conceded only 3 (0.6 per match), while Larne have 9 scored and 6 conceded (1.2 per match). At home Glentoran averages 13.39 shots and 5.33 on target with an xG of 1.66 and a conversion rate of 14%, whereas Larne away average 11.18 shots, 4.76 on target, xG 1.49 and a 16% conversion — this shows the hosts create more chances while the visitors are slightly more efficient. Defensively Larne look statistically more solid with 0.71 goals conceded away versus Glentoran’s 0.89 at home and 47% clean sheets vs 33%, which gives them realistic prospects of a draw. Considering Glentoran’s higher xG and chance volume and better home form in the last 5 matches (3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per match), I give a small edge to the hosts and a probability distribution of 50/25/25.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
GlentoranLarne
20Shots6
GlentoranLarne
1Shots on target2
GlentoranLarne
1.71xG0.81
GlentoranLarne
8Corners4
GlentoranLarne
54Dangerous attacks38
GlentoranLarne
8Fouls10
GlentoranLarne
2Cards2
GlentoranLarne

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.92Goals scored / match1.92
GlentoranLarne
1Goals conceded / match0.68
GlentoranLarne
55%Average possession52%
GlentoranLarne
5.03Shots on target / match5.13
GlentoranLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.26Shots per match12.39
GlentoranLarne
5.03Shots on target5.13
GlentoranLarne
14.5%Shot conversion15.5%
GlentoranLarne
55%Possession52%
GlentoranLarne
1.64xG for1.56
GlentoranLarne
0.96xG against1.1
GlentoranLarne

Shooting quality

Glentoran: Efficient finishingLarne: Efficient finishing
GlentoranLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)38%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Glentoran · 2 pts / match - Larne

Glentoran
DWWDL
Season result split
61% W21% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-8-7
2.03 pts / match · goal difference +35
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-6-2
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Larne
WLWDW
Season result split
66% W21% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-8-5
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +47
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-3-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larne is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Glentoran · 0.68 goals / match - Larne

Glentoran scoring profile: strong

Glentoran scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

73Goals scored (season)73
GlentoranLarne
38Goals conceded (season)26
GlentoranLarne
2.92Average goals in match2.61
GlentoranLarne
10Goals scored (last 5)13
GlentoranLarne
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
GlentoranLarne

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal84%
GlentoranLarne
58%2 goals63%
GlentoranLarne
18%3 goals21%
GlentoranLarne
13%4 goals13%
GlentoranLarne

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal45%
GlentoranLarne
18%2 goals16%
GlentoranLarne
11%3 goals5%
GlentoranLarne
5%4 goals3%
GlentoranLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time16%
GlentoranLarne
3%BTTS in both halves5%
GlentoranLarne
37%Scored in both halves29%
GlentoranLarne

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
GlentoranLarne
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
GlentoranLarne
60%BTTS - last 520%
GlentoranLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
GlentoranLarne
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
GlentoranLarne
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
GlentoranLarne

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
GlentoranLarne
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
GlentoranLarne
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
GlentoranLarne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Glentoran - half-time state
47% leading34% draw18% trailing
Larne - half-time state
47% leading39% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per match (1st half)1.82
GlentoranLarne
0.84Goals scored (1st half)0.87
GlentoranLarne
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
GlentoranLarne
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.24
GlentoranLarne
71%Clean sheet before half-time74%
GlentoranLarne
39%No goal before half-time42%
GlentoranLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)1.87
GlentoranLarne
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
GlentoranLarne
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.32
GlentoranLarne
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.37
GlentoranLarne
58%Clean sheet after half-time74%
GlentoranLarne
34%No goal after half-time45%
GlentoranLarne

Glentoran - second-half results

47% W32% R21% P
67
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larne - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
69
Half-time points
33
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
71
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Glentoran - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Glentoran
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
10
3
16-30
17
9
31-45
12
5
46-60
13
11
61-75
16
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Larne
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
12
5
16-30
12
7
31-45
12
7
46-60
8
1
61-75
20
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Glentoran

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

GlentoranLigaLarne
Average goals in match 2.922.94 2.61
Both teams scored 53%52% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%56% 47%
Clean sheets 39%26% 55%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 68%
Goal after half-time 84%80% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Glentoran 0 - 1 - 2 Larne. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Glentoran vs Larne?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Glentoran 0:0 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Glentoran and Larne?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 0, Larne won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Glentoran vs Larne?

Glentoran score 1.92 goals per game on average and Larne 1.92. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Glentoran's matches and 39% of Larne's.

What form are Glentoran and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Glentoran have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Larne 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glentoran vs Larne?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Glentoran vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.