Finland - VeikkausliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 20 October 2026

Gnistan vs Oulu: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gnistan vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gnistan play Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena.

Current form

Gnistan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Oulu: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gnistan scores 1.43 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Oulu scores 1.14 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gnistan 54%, Oulu 43%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 43%, Oulu 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Gnistan has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.24. Gnistan: 13.2 shots per match, Oulu: 10.6.

Match halves

Gnistan: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. Oulu: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(3.44)
(3.41)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match1.14
GnistanOulu
1.32Goals conceded / match1.21
GnistanOulu
42%Average possession46%
GnistanOulu
4.39Shots on target / match3.71
GnistanOulu

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.18Shots per match10.61
GnistanOulu
4.39Shots on target3.71
GnistanOulu
10.8%Shot conversion10.8%
GnistanOulu
42%Possession46%
GnistanOulu
1.48xG for1.24
GnistanOulu
1.59xG against1.44
GnistanOulu

Shooting quality

Gnistan: BalancedOulu: Balanced
GnistanOulu
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Oulu is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.2 pts / match - Oulu

Gnistan
WDDLL
Season result split
39% W32% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-8
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
WDDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Oulu
LLWLW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-12
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-6
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gnistan is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.14 goals / match - Oulu

Oulu is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.21 goals / match - Oulu

Gnistan scoring profile: strong

Gnistan scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).

Oulu scoring profile: very strong

Oulu scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

40Goals scored (season)32
GnistanOulu
37Goals conceded (season)34
GnistanOulu
2.75Average goals in match2.36
GnistanOulu
3Goals scored (last 5)7
GnistanOulu
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
GnistanOulu

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
GnistanOulu
39%2 goals29%
GnistanOulu
21%3 goals7%
GnistanOulu
7%4 goals4%
GnistanOulu

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal64%
GnistanOulu
32%2 goals29%
GnistanOulu
11%3 goals18%
GnistanOulu
7%4 goals7%
GnistanOulu

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time11%
GnistanOulu
4%BTTS in both halves4%
GnistanOulu
25%Scored in both halves14%
GnistanOulu

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
GnistanOulu
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
GnistanOulu
40%BTTS - last 560%
GnistanOulu

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
GnistanOulu
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
GnistanOulu
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
GnistanOulu

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
GnistanOulu
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
GnistanOulu
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
GnistanOulu

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gnistan is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.14 pts / match - Oulu

Gnistan - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
Oulu - half-time state
25% leading39% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.14
GnistanOulu
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.39
GnistanOulu
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
GnistanOulu
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.04
GnistanOulu
54%Clean sheet before half-time57%
GnistanOulu
54%No goal before half-time68%
GnistanOulu

After half-time (2nd half)

1.54Points per match (2nd half)1.61
GnistanOulu
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
GnistanOulu
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
GnistanOulu
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.32
GnistanOulu
50%Clean sheet after half-time64%
GnistanOulu
50%No goal after half-time46%
GnistanOulu

Gnistan - second-half results

43% W25% D32% L
36
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Oulu - second-half results

39% W43% D18% L
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Oulu - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
8
8
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Oulu
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
9
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
7
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Oulu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

GnistanLigaOulu
Average goals in match▲ 2.752.52▼ 2.36
Both teams scored▲ 54%48%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 43%44%▼ 39%
Clean sheets▼ 21%30%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time• 71%72%▼ 64%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%73%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Gnistan 4 - 0 - 1 Oulu. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
Gnistan
1 : 5
Oulu
IF Gnistan
3 : 2
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
2 : 3
IF Gnistan

FAQ

When do Gnistan and Oulu play?

Gnistan face Oulu on 24 October 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Mustapekka Areena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and Oulu?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 4, Oulu won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs Oulu?

Gnistan score 1.43 goals per game on average and Oulu 1.14. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Gnistan's matches and 43% of Oulu's.

What form are Gnistan and Oulu in?

Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Oulu 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs Oulu?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gnistan vs Oulu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.