Gorica vs Istra 1961: match statistics
Gorica vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica play Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Gorica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Istra 1961: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.11 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 50%, Istra 1961 53%. Over 2.5: Gorica 44%, Istra 1961 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Gorica: 10.8 shots per match, Istra 1961: 10.3.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44. Istra 1961: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). Istra 1961: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Gorica is a narrow favorite: the hosts have scored 36 goals this season and average 1.27 goals per home match, while Istra 1961 have 35 goals this season and average 1.27 goals away — the offenses are therefore balanced, but other metrics favor the home side. Defensively Gorica concedes 1.40 goals on average at home (43 this season), whereas Istra concedes 1.53 goals on the road (46 this season); xG against is also notable: 1.40 for Gorica versus as much as 2.04 for Istra, suggesting the visitors allow more dangerous situations. Gorica creates more chances — on average 10.6 shots and 3.73 on target per home match with a shot conversion of 12%, while Istra averages 9.13 shots and 3.13 on target away with a conversion of 14%; additionally the hosts have a lower share of matches without scoring (27% vs 40%). Form for both teams is poor: in the last 5 matches Gorica is 1-1-3, scored 6 and conceded 11 (0.8 points per match), and Istra is 1-0-4 with a 4-10 record and 0.6 points per match. Due to better chance creation, lower xG against (1.40 vs 2.04) and a higher share of clean-sheet matches for the hosts (27% vs 13%), I forecast a Gorica win; suggested probabilities are 50% for Gorica, 30% for a draw and 20% for Istra.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Istra 1961 is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Gorica · 1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Gorica · 1.39 goals / match - Istra 1961
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Istra 1961 scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gorica
Over / Under — Istra 1961
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Gorica · 0.89 pts / match - Istra 1961
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Istra 1961
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Gorica 2 - 0 - 1 Istra 1961. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Istra 1961?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 1:0 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Istra 1961?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2, Istra 1961 won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Gorica score 1.11 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.08. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gorica's matches and 53% of Istra 1961's.
What form are Gorica and Istra 1961 in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Istra 1961 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Istra 1961?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Istra 1961: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.