Grêmio vs Fluminense: match statistics
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Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Fluminense: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.53 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Fluminense 74%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Fluminense 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.23. Grêmio: 11.2 shots per match, Fluminense: 15.2.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Fluminense: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.2 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.53 goals / match - Fluminense
Fluminense is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.26 goals / match - Fluminense
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Fluminense scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.68 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Grêmio 0 - 0 - 3 Fluminense. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Grêmio and Fluminense play?
Grêmio face Fluminense on 26 July 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Fluminense?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Fluminense won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Fluminense?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.53. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grêmio's matches and 74% of Fluminense's.
What form are Grêmio and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Fluminense 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Fluminense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.