Latvia - VirsligaData current as of 22 October 2026

Grobiņa vs Riga: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grobiņa vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grobiņa play Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 26 October 2026.

Current form

Grobiņa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grobiņa scores 0.76 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Riga scores 2.73 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grobiņa 42%, Riga 58%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 33%, Riga 76%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Riga has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.24. Grobiņa: 10.3 shots per match, Riga: 16.9.

Match halves

Grobiņa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.39. Riga: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 1.39.

Goals by minute

Grobiņa: 61-75 (6 goals). Riga: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Virsliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-6. Average goals 2.57, BTTS 14%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(11.00)
(6.30)
(1.15)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.76Goals scored / match2.73
GrobiņaRiga
1.7Goals conceded / match0.94
GrobiņaRiga
41%Average possession64%
GrobiņaRiga
3.39Shots on target / match6.36
GrobiņaRiga

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match16.85
GrobiņaRiga
3.39Shots on target6.36
GrobiņaRiga
7.3%Shot conversion16.2%
GrobiņaRiga
41%Possession64%
GrobiņaRiga
1.24xG for2
GrobiņaRiga
1.75xG against0.96
GrobiņaRiga

Shooting quality

Grobiņa: BalancedRiga: Dominant
GrobiņaRiga
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Riga is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 2.6 pts / match - Riga

Grobiņa
LDDLW
Season result split
18% W33% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-11-16
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Riga
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
73% W21% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
24-7-2
2.39 pts / match · goal difference +59
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-3-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Riga is 259% better for: goals scored per match.

0.76 goals / match - Grobiņa · 2.73 goals / match - Riga

Riga is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Grobiņa · 0.94 goals / match - Riga

Grobiņa scoring profile: mixed

Grobiņa scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).

Riga scoring profile: very strong

Riga scores in 97% of matches (32 of 33 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).

25Goals scored (season)90
GrobiņaRiga
56Goals conceded (season)31
GrobiņaRiga
2.45Average goals in match3.67
GrobiņaRiga
5Goals scored (last 5)8
GrobiņaRiga
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
GrobiņaRiga

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal97%
GrobiņaRiga
12%2 goals82%
GrobiņaRiga
9%3 goals55%
GrobiņaRiga
0%4 goals27%
GrobiņaRiga

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal58%
GrobiņaRiga
45%2 goals24%
GrobiņaRiga
21%3 goals12%
GrobiņaRiga
9%4 goals0%
GrobiņaRiga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
GrobiņaRiga
3%BTTS in both halves9%
GrobiņaRiga
9%Scored in both halves55%
GrobiņaRiga

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
GrobiņaRiga
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
GrobiņaRiga
60%BTTS - last 540%
GrobiņaRiga

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
GrobiņaRiga
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
GrobiņaRiga
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
GrobiņaRiga

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
GrobiņaRiga
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
GrobiņaRiga
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
GrobiņaRiga

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Riga is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Grobiņa · 2.09 pts / match - Riga

Grobiņa - half-time state
18% leading52% draw30% trailing
Riga - half-time state
64% leading18% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)2.09
GrobiņaRiga
0.36Goals scored (1st half)1.33
GrobiņaRiga
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
GrobiņaRiga
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.79
GrobiņaRiga
58%Clean sheet before half-time64%
GrobiņaRiga
70%No goal before half-time27%
GrobiņaRiga

After half-time (2nd half)

0.76Points per match (2nd half)2.03
GrobiņaRiga
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)1.39
GrobiņaRiga
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
GrobiņaRiga
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.88
GrobiņaRiga
36%Clean sheet after half-time67%
GrobiņaRiga
67%No goal after half-time21%
GrobiņaRiga

Grobiņa - second-half results

12% W39% D48% L
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Riga - second-half results

58% W30% D12% L
69
Half-time points
44
Half-time goals
+29
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+30
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grobiņa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Riga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grobiņa
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
14
31-45
2
12
46-60
6
5
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Riga
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
16
6
16-30
19
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
15
4
61-75
20
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grobiņa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
46%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Riga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
218%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

GrobiņaLigaRiga
Average goals in match▼ 2.452.89▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▼ 42%55%▲ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%55%▲ 76%
Clean sheets▼ 21%25%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time▼ 61%75%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 76%81%• 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.89
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Grobiņa 0 - 1 - 6 Riga. Average goals 2.57, both teams scored in 14% matches.

Riga
4 : 0
Grobiņa
Riga
2 : 0
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
0 : 3
Riga
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
1 : 1
Riga FC
Riga FC
2 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
Grobinas Sporta Centrs
0 : 2
Riga FC
Riga FC
3 : 0
Grobinas Sporta Centrs

FAQ

When do Grobiņa and Riga play?

Grobiņa face Riga on 26 October 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Riga?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 6 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Riga?

Grobiņa score 0.76 goals per game on average and Riga 2.73. The Virsliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Grobiņa's matches and 58% of Riga's.

What form are Grobiņa and Riga in?

Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Riga?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.