Grobiņa vs Tukums: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa play Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Grobiņas stadionā. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tukums: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Tukums scores 1.65 and concedes 2.04. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 35%, Tukums 91%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 22%, Tukums 78%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.16. Grobiņa: 9.2 shots per match, Tukums: 11.9.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26. Tukums: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-2-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the away win (2). Tukums clearly dominates in attack — 36 goals scored this season versus Grobiņa’s 12, averaging 1.4 goals away with away xG 1.47, while Grobiņa at home scores 0.55 goals with xG 0.99. The visitors average 12.8 shots per match with 4.4 on target and a conversion rate around 11%; the hosts typically register 7.55 shots with 2.27 on target and about 7% conversion, giving Tukums the advantage in quality of chances. However, Tukums are unstable on the road — 0% away wins and 60% away losses in the data, and in the last 5 matches the visitors conceded 11 goals versus Grobiņa’s 6, which weakens their confidence. The hosts are more compact defensively at home, conceding 1.45 goals per match on average, but their offensive efficiency is very poor (Grobiņa fail to score in 64% of home matches), limiting their chances of winning. Considering the xG advantage (1.47 vs 0.99), 4.4 vs 2.27 shots on target and the fact Grobiņa do not score in 64% of home games, I estimate 55% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 154% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.65 goals / match - Tukums
Grobiņa is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Grobiņa · 2.04 goals / match - Tukums
Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Tukums scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grobiņa
Over / Under — Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tukums is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.09 pts / match - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 56% | ▲ 91% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 55% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Grobiņa 2 - 2 - 2 Tukums. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 3:1 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Tukums?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 2, Tukums won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Grobiņa score 0.65 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.65. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Grobiņa's matches and 91% of Tukums's.
What form are Grobiņa and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tukums 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Tukums?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grobiņa vs Tukums: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.