Gwangju vs Ulsan: match statistics
Gwangju vs Ulsan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gwangju played Ulsan in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Gwangju World Cup Stadium. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Gwangju: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Ulsan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gwangju scores 0.70 and concedes 2.10 goals per match. Ulsan scores 1.50 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gwangju 47%, Ulsan 67%. Over 2.5: Gwangju 50%, Ulsan 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Ulsan has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.14. Gwangju: 9.1 shots per match, Ulsan: 14.0.
Match halves
Gwangju: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.40. Ulsan: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Gwangju: 0-15 (4 goals). Ulsan: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-3. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulsan sit 2nd in the table, while Gwangju are 12th. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas the hosts have not won during that spell. Away from home, Ulsan average 1.27 goals and 4.53 shots on target per match, compared with Gwangju’s 0.75 goals and 3.38 shots on target at home. The visitors also have the edge in the quality of chances created: their away xG stands at 1.54, compared with 1.20 for the hosts on home soil. Gwangju concede an average of 1.94 goals at home and have been scored against 11 times in their last 5 matches; Ulsan concede an average of 1.13 goals away from home. These differences point to an away win, although Ulsan’s 40% away win rate means a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 73% of Gwangju's matches and 60% of Ulsan's, both above the league average of 53%. Gwangju score an average of 1.73 goals per match, while Ulsan average 1.27; their xG averages are 1.81 and 1.54, respectively, pointing to scoring chances at both ends. Over their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.4 goals scored, although Gwangju conceded as many as 2.2 per game, which particularly boosts Ulsan's chances of scoring. The risk with BTTS - Yes is that Ulsan failed to score in 27% of their matches and conceded an average of just 0.8 goals over their last five. Even so, BTTS landed in 80% of Gwangju's last five matches and 60% of Ulsan's, making goals from both teams more likely. BTTS - No means at least one team fails to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw or that neither team scores.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was surpassed in 73% of Gwangju's matches and 87% of Ulsan's. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals and concede 1.13, while Ulsan score 1.27 goals and Gwangju concede 1.53. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.81 for Gwangju and 1.54 for Ulsan, although the hosts have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game over their last five matches. The projected total of 2.97 goals points to at least two goals, but the higher Over 2.5 line has weaker support: it has been surpassed in 73% of Gwangju's matches and 47% of Ulsan's.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams were level after 45 minutes in 47% of their matches this season, while in their last five fixtures this applied to 60% of Gwangju’s matches and 80% of Ulsan’s. In that same period, neither team led at the break, weakening scenarios based on an early lead. After half-time, the form advantage shifts the balance in favour of the visitors: Ulsan have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Gwangju have won none. In the second halves of those fixtures, Ulsan scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 0.4, compared with Gwangju’s 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Although Gwangju have won more often than Ulsan over the season as a whole (53% versus 40%), the recent results and the visitors’ effectiveness after the break make a half-time draw followed by a Ulsan win the most compelling HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gwangju | Ulsan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ulsan is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Gwangju · 2 pts / match - Ulsan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulsan is 114% better for: goals scored per match.
0.7 goals / match - Gwangju · 1.5 goals / match - Ulsan
Ulsan is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.1 goals / match - Gwangju · 1.33 goals / match - Ulsan
Gwangju scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while Ulsan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Ulsan scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gwangju
Over / Under - Ulsan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ulsan is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Gwangju · 1.17 pts / match - Ulsan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gwangju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 3%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ulsan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gwangju
Ulsan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Gwangju | Liga | Ulsan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Gwangju 1 - 2 - 3 Ulsan. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gwangju vs Ulsan?
The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 4:3 Ulsan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gwangju and Ulsan?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 1, Ulsan won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Ulsan?
Gwangju score 0.70 goals per game on average and Ulsan 1.50. The K League 1 average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Gwangju's matches and 67% of Ulsan's.
What form are Gwangju and Ulsan in?
Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Ulsan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Ulsan?
The statistical background for Gwangju vs Ulsan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.