Croatia - Prva HNLStadion PoljudData current as of 16 October 2026

Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hajduk Split vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hajduk Split play Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Poljud.

Current form

Hajduk Split: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Varaždin: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hajduk Split scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.56 and concedes 0.78. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hajduk Split 44%, Varaždin 44%. Over 2.5: Hajduk Split 78%, Varaždin 44%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.56. Hajduk Split: 15.0 shots per match, Varaždin: 14.3.

Match halves

Hajduk Split: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.11. Varaždin: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Hajduk Split: 46-60 (5 goals). Varaždin: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.70)
(3.40)
(4.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hajduk SplitVaraždin
2Goals scored / match1.56
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1Goals conceded / match0.78
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
60%Average possession48%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
6Shots on target / match3.89
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match14.33
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
6Shots on target3.89
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
13.3%Shot conversion10.9%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
60%Possession48%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1.85xG for1.56
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1.05xG against1.47
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

Shooting quality

Hajduk Split: DominantVaraždin: Attacking
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
Accuracy (shots on target)40%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hajduk Split is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.8 pts / match - Varaždin

Hajduk Split
WWWLW
Season result split
67% W11% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-2
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Varaždin
WDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hajduk Split is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.56 goals / match - Varaždin

Varaždin is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 0.78 goals / match - Varaždin

Hajduk Split scoring profile: strong

Hajduk Split scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

Varaždin scoring profile: strong

Varaždin scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

18Goals scored (season)14
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
9Goals conceded (season)7
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
3Average goals in match2.33
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
9Goals scored (last 5)5
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
67%2 goals56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
22%3 goals11%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
22%4 goals11%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal44%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
33%2 goals22%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
11%3 goals11%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
0%4 goals0%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time0%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
67%Scored in both halves11%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
20%BTTS - last 520%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hajduk Split is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.89 pts / match - Varaždin

Hajduk Split - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing
Varaždin - half-time state
44% leading56% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.89
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.78
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
67%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
22%No goal before half-time56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1.11Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
56%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin
22%No goal after half-time56%
Hajduk SplitVaraždin

Hajduk Split - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Varaždin - second-half results

22% W67% D11% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hajduk Split - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Varaždin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.2
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hajduk Split
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hajduk Split

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

Hajduk SplitLigaVaraždin
Average goals in match▼ 3.003.16▼ 2.33
Both teams scored▼ 44%55%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%66%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 44%26%▲ 56%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%75%▼ 44%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%80%▼ 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Hajduk Split 1 - 2 - 2 Varaždin. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 80% matches.

FAQ

When do Hajduk Split and Varaždin play?

Hajduk Split face Varaždin on 18 October 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Poljud. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Varaždin?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 1, Varaždin won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?

Hajduk Split score 2.00 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.56. The Prva HNL average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hajduk Split's matches and 44% of Varaždin's.

What form are Hajduk Split and Varaždin in?

Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Varaždin 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.