Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Cove Rangers: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 2.50 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 0%, Cove Rangers 0%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 50%, Cove Rangers 50%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.06. Hamilton Academical: 10.0 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 7.0.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.50. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 76-90+ (3 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical lead the table and remain unbeaten after 4 matches this season, recording 3 wins and 1 draw, while Cove Rangers have a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The hosts have won both home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and conceding none, whereas the visitors have lost both away matches, averaging 0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The difference in the quality of chances created is reflected in the xG figures: Hamilton record 1.28 at home with just 0.77 xG conceded, while Cove generate 0.95 away from home and allow opponents 1.90. Cove have failed to score in 100% of their away matches so far, while Hamilton have kept clean sheets in all of their home fixtures. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals during that run, while Cove have suffered 3 defeats over the same period and conceded 9 goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: Hamilton have yet to concede at home, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, while Cove average 0.0 goals scored away from home. The visitors have failed to score in 100% of their away matches, and their shot conversion rate is 0%, despite averaging 3.5 shots on target per game. Hamilton are also in good defensive form, conceding just 0.6 goals per match over their last five games, compared with Cove’s 1.0 goals scored. The historical BTTS rate stands at 0% for both teams, while across their last five appearances it reaches only 20%. The home side’s advantage is further reinforced by the quality of chances: their average xG is 1.19, while Cove allow opponents an xG of 1.90, which supports a Hamilton win with the visitors failing to score rather than a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Hamilton have averaged 2.2 goals scored across their last five matches, while Cove have conceded 1.8 per game over the same period, giving the hosts clear potential to score around 2 goals. At the same time, Hamilton have conceded just 3 goals in five matches, an average of 0.6 per game, while Cove are yet to score away from home and have conceded 2.5 goals on average. Hamilton’s average xG across their last five matches stands at 1.38, compared with Cove’s 1.17, but Hamilton’s solid defence reduces the visitors’ realistic goal projection to 0.70. Both teams have seen 100% of their home-away matches finish with no more than three goals, and none of these games exceeded the 3.5-goal line. With a projected total of 2.45 goals, the most convincing option is Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Hamilton win, as in the current competition both teams have been level after 45 minutes in 100% of their matches so far, with neither scoring nor conceding during that period. After the break, the hosts average 1.5 goals scored and have not conceded, while Cove Rangers have failed to score and have conceded as many as 2.5 goals in the second half. Hamilton’s broader form also offers clear support: across their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, compared with 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded by the visitors. Hamilton led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, but Cove were level at half-time in 4 of their last 5, reinforcing the scenario of a cautious opening period followed by a second-half outcome. Cove have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, while the hosts have won 3 of 5, so the visitors have limited statistical grounds for a turnaround after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 61% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.75 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Hamilton Academical scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 100% (4 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.5 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 47% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Hamilton Academical 1 - 2 - 1 Cove Rangers. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 1:0 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Cove Rangers won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
Hamilton Academical score 2.50 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 0.75. The League One average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 0% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Cove Rangers 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.