Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool played Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nõmme United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.40 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.57 and concedes 2.40. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Nõmme United 80%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 63%, Nõmme United 90%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.54. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.2 shots per match, Nõmme United: 12.0.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Nõmme United: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (12 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Harju Jalgpallikool are 6th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals in that run, while ninth-placed Nõmme United have won twice and scored 8 goals. Harju average 1.53 goals per game at home, while Nõmme concede as many as 2.5 goals per game away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. The quality of chances also favours Harju: their home xG is 1.60, compared with Nõmme's away xG of 1.35. The visitors remain a threat going forward, but have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, against 5 conceded by the hosts, boosting Harju's chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indicator in favor of both teams scoring is their season-long BTTS frequency: 87% in Harju matches and 79% in Nõmme matches, with neither team keeping a clean sheet. Harju score an average of 1.93 goals per match, while Nõmme concede 2.50; conversely, the visitors score 1.29 goals, while the hosts concede 2.20. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 1.70 for Harju and 1.35 for Nõmme. Some caution is warranted given the hosts’ last five matches: BTTS landed in only 40% of them, and Harju conceded an average of 1.0 goal. Even so, the full-season record and the lack of clean sheets on either side point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Harju matches average 4.13 goals, while Nõmme United matches average 3.79; Over 2.5 goals has landed in 93% and 86% of those games, respectively. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals, while the visitors concede 2.50, pointing to strong scoring potential for Harju. Nõmme also have a chance to score: they average 1.29 goals, while Harju concede 2.20. Moreover, neither team has kept a clean sheet in the matches analysed. Over their last five games, Harju averaged 3.0 goals scored, while Nõmme conceded 2.0. With a projected total of 3.70 goals, I’m backing Over 2.5 as a strong line, supported by both teams’ results.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Nõmme United leading at the break, with Harju Jalgpallikool winning the match. The away side led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.2 goals before the break, while the hosts scored 0.8 goals during that period. The balance shifts markedly after half-time: across their last 5 matches, Harju scored an average of 2.2 goals in the second half, while Nõmme conceded 1.6 and lost all 5 second halves. The case for a turnaround is also supported by overall form: the hosts won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors lost 3 of 5. This is a risky turnaround scenario, so the hosts leading at the break also remains a realistic alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.6 pts / match - Nõmme United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.57 goals / match - Nõmme United
Harju Jalgpallikool is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.4 goals / match - Nõmme United
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 30 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under - Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.97 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.93 | 3.12 | ▲ 3.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 88% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Harju Jalgpallikool 2 - 0 - 1 Nõmme United. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 2:0 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Nõmme United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 2, Nõmme United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.40 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.57. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 80% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nõmme United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.