Estonia - MeistriliigaLaagri kunstmuruData current as of 17 October 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool play Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.42 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.94 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 48%, Tallinna FC Flora 58%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 61%, Tallinna FC Flora 81%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.55. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.1 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 15.3.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (12 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-6. Average goals 3.29, BTTS 43%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.42Goals scored / match1.94
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.48Goals conceded / match1.42
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
48%Average possession58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4.23Shots on target / match5.03
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.13Shots per match15.35
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
4.23Shots on target5.03
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
11.7%Shot conversion12.6%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
48%Possession58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.55xG for1.9
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.87xG against1.47
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: BalancedTallinna FC Flora: Dominant
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 86% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.4 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W6% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-15
1.42 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Tallinna FC Flora
DWWLL
Season result split
58% W3% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-1-12
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-1-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

1.42 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.94 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 87% of matches (27 of 31 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

44Goals scored (season)60
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
46Goals conceded (season)44
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
2.9Average goals in match3.35
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal87%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
48%2 goals58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
13%3 goals29%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3%4 goals10%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
48%2 goals48%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
23%3 goals19%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3%4 goals3%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 31 matches
58%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 31 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time29%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
23%Scored in both halves32%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
40%BTTS - last 580%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.39 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing
Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
32% leading42% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.39
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.87
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.58
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
52%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
52%No goal before half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)1.74
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.77
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
42%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora
52%No goal after half-time35%
Harju JalgpallikoolTallinna FC Flora

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

29% W32% D39% L
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

52% W19% D29% L
43
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
9
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
10
9
16-30
10
9
31-45
10
7
46-60
13
7
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaTallinna FC Flora
Average goals in match▼ 2.903.11▲ 3.35
Both teams scored▼ 48%57%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 61%65%▲ 81%
Clean sheets▲ 29%23%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 74%76%• 77%
Goal after half-time▼ 84%88%• 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Harju Jalgpallikool 1 - 0 - 6 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.29, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Tallinna FC Flora
5 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
2 : 0
Tallinna FC Flora
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
3 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
4 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

When do Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora play?

Harju Jalgpallikool face Tallinna FC Flora on 21 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmuru. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 6 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.42 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.94. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 58% of Tallinna FC Flora's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Flora in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Flora?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.