Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Harju Jalgpallikool played Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.62 and concedes 0.81. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Tallinna FC Levadia 71%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 68%, Tallinna FC Levadia 71%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.45 vs 1.55. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.5 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 21.1.
Match halves
Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.68. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-5. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia lead the league with 15 wins, 5 draws and just 1 defeat, while Harju Jalgpallikool have lost 13 of their 22 matches. Away from home, Levadia win as many as 82% of their matches and remain unbeaten, averaging 2.45 goals scored and just 0.91 conceded. The visitors’ superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 2.60 compared with the hosts’ 1.65, while they record 7.82 shots on target to Harju’s 4.82. Harju have been prolific recently, scoring 18 goals in their last five matches, but at home they allow opponents an xG of 1.95 and concede an average of 1.55 goals. Levadia are also in solid recent form, with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, making them clear favourites.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the very high 91% frequency of both teams scoring in Levadia matches, well above the league average of 57%. The hosts average 2.80 goals per match, while Levadia average 2.45, with high xG figures of 2.28 and 2.60 respectively. In their last five matches, Harju averaged 3.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Levadia recorded 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Neither side has finished a single match this season without scoring, which limits the risk of a one-sided result. Although Harju keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches, Levadia’s attacking output—averaging 7.82 shots on target and producing 2.60 xG—supports the expectation of an away goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams possess very high attacking potential: the hosts score an average of 2.80 goals per match, while Levadia average 2.45. Their average xG figures are even higher, at 2.28 and 2.60 respectively, supported by a high number of shots on target: 6.4 for Harju and 7.82 for the visitors. In their last five matches, Harju averaged 3.6 goals and Levadia 2.8, while both teams recorded games with over 2.5 goals in 80% of those matches. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 100% of Harju’s matches and 91% of Levadia’s, while neither team ended a league match without scoring. Over 1.5 therefore has the strongest foundation, both in terms of scoring consistency and the quality of chances created.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Harju held the lead at half-time in 70% of matches, while Levadia were ahead after the first half in only 45%, and the hosts conceded just 0.1 goals per game before the break. The home side averaged 1.5 goals in this phase and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 90% of matches, which strongly supports the scenario of Harju leading after 45 minutes. However, Levadia are very strong over the full match: they have an 82% win rate, remain unbeaten, and average 2.60 xG compared with Harju’s 2.28, so the risk of a turnaround remains significant. Nevertheless, Harju perform better in the first halves, with their average of 2.4 points before the break exceeding Levadia’s 1.73. After half-time, the hosts continue to score an average of 1.3 goals, making the most likely single outcome the 1/1 HT/FT result, with Harju maintaining their lead and winning.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.62 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.81 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (21 of 21 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.05 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Harju Jalgpallikool
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Harju Jalgpallikool | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.18 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 86% | 89% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Harju Jalgpallikool 0 - 1 - 5 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 1:2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.45 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.62. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 71% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The statistical background for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tallinna FC Levadia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.