Estonia - MeistriliigaLaagri kunstmuruData current as of 15 October 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Vaprus: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.42 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.35 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 48%, Vaprus 68%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 61%, Vaprus 68%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.25. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.1 shots per match, Vaprus: 9.7.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74. Vaprus: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (12 goals). Vaprus: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.11)
(3.75)
(2.88)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.42Goals scored / match1.35
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.48Goals conceded / match2
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%Average possession46%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
4.23Shots on target / match3.77
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.13Shots per match9.65
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
4.23Shots on target3.77
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
11.7%Shot conversion14%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%Possession46%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.55xG for1.25
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.87xG against1.99
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: BalancedVaprus: Counter-attacking
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)35%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 550% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.4 pts / match - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W6% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-15
1.42 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Vaprus
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W19% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-16
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-10
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.42 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.35 goals / match - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2 goals / match - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

44Goals scored (season)42
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
46Goals conceded (season)62
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
2.9Average goals in match3.35
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3Goals conceded (last 5)13
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal81%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%2 goals39%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
13%3 goals10%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%4 goals3%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal81%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
48%2 goals65%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
23%3 goals29%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%4 goals10%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 31 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time32%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
23%Scored in both halves29%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
40%BTTS - last 560%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.19 pts / match - Vaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.19
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.52
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%No goal before half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)1.1
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.84
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
42%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus
52%No goal after half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolVaprus

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

29% W32% D39% L
40
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W23% D48% L
37
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Vaprus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
9
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
8
8
16-30
8
9
31-45
9
13
46-60
7
11
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaVaprus
Average goals in match▼ 2.903.10▲ 3.35
Both teams scored▼ 48%57%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 61%64%▲ 68%
Clean sheets▲ 29%23%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▼ 74%76%▼ 74%
Goal after half-time▼ 84%88%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Harju Jalgpallikool 2 - 2 - 3 Vaprus. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Vaprus
2 : 3
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Vaprus
Vaprus
0 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
0 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

When do Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus play?

Harju Jalgpallikool face Vaprus on 18 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmuru. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 2, Vaprus won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.42 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.35. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 68% of Vaprus's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Vaprus 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Vaprus: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.