HB Køge vs Hobro: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
HB Køge vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 21 September 2026.
Current form
HB Køge: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Hobro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 0.75 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 50%, Hobro 75%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 50%, Hobro 75%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
HB Køge has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.23. HB Køge: 14.5 shots per match, Hobro: 10.3.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Hobro: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 31-45+ (2 goals). Hobro: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.4 pts / match - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hobro is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.25 goals / match - Hobro
Hobro is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.38 goals / match - Hobro
HB Køge scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Hobro scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HB Køge
Over / Under - Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hobro is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.13 pts / match - Hobro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.63 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): HB Køge 2 - 1 - 1 Hobro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do HB Køge and Hobro play?
HB Køge face Hobro on 21 September 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and Hobro?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 2, Hobro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Hobro?
HB Køge score 0.75 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.25. The 1st Division average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of HB Køge's matches and 75% of Hobro's.
What form are HB Køge and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Hobro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Hobro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HB Køge vs Hobro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.